Match Info

Date: 12 July 2021, Monday


	Grorud		Aalesunds

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.2	1.6
	4.1	3.7	1.67
	4.8	4.1	1.61	Watch
	4.6	4	1.61
	5.11	4.25	1.65
	4.8	3.9	1.6
	5.05	4.4	1.58	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.82 ↑ (3.65)	4.08 ↑ (3.81)	1.62 ↓ (1.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grorud
19.4%

Draw
22.9%

Aalesunds
57.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.5%

24.4%

50.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

20%

19.1%

63.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grorud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grorud's form might have worsened.

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aalesunds's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grorud than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (+6.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aalesunds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
24.5%	6.1%	69.4%

Grorud - Aalesunds Predictions

Users Predictions: 49 users predict this event. Grorud will win (votes: 12 - 24.5%). Aalesunds will win (votes: 34 - 69.4%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 6.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Aalesunds: 56.5% – 82.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Play Offs)).

Grorud is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aalesunds is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Aalesunds is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grorud IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.07.21	Stjørdals-Blink - Grorud	2:0 ✺
02.07.21	Grorud - Sandnes Ulf	1:0 ✺
27.06.21	Fredrikstad - Grorud	2:2 ✺
22.06.21	Grorud - Start	1:4 ✺
18.06.21	Bryne - Grorud	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTLL
- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.07.21	Sandnes Ulf - Aalesunds	0:0 ✺
02.07.21	Aalesunds - Åsane	2:0 ✺
27.06.21	Ullensaker Kisa - Aalesunds	0:1 ✺
22.06.21	Aalesunds - Stjørdals-Blink	5:1 ✺
18.06.21	Sogndal - Aalesunds	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWWWL

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