Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 2

Date: 5 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Fosshaugane Campus (Sogndal)

Referee: Haugen J. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play


	Sogndal		Aalesunds

	1	X	2
	3.25	3.6	2
	3.2	3.4	2.05
	3.4	3.6	2.05
	3.37	3.56	2.05	Watch
	3.39	3.56	2.06
	3.4	3.6	2.05
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.34 ↑ (3.05)	3.55 ↑ (3.51)	2.04 ↓ (2.18)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sogndal
28%

Draw
26.3%

Aalesunds
45.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.6%

26.6%

42.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.8%

25.9%

43.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sogndal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

Aalesunds has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Sogndal - Aalesunds Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Saetren D. (G) 2. Bras D. 32. Oren M. 33. Granheim S. A. 17. Sjolstad M. 16. Vapne L. 6. Hoyland M. 8. Flaten J. 10. Skaanes K. 19. Flataker E. 9. Hintsa O.	1. Grytebust S. (G) 5. Kjelsen A. 45. Aukland P. 25. Kitolano J. 2. Andresen M. 8. Melland H. 66. Seehusen J. 11. Johannsson D. 7. Nesso K. 9. Ngongo P. 10. Braga C.
Substitutes
36. Aroy M. 77. Borgthorsson O. 18. Hagen V. 14. Haruna J. 1. Jendal L. (G) 22. Kalstad A. 11. Mensah E. 88. Onyango R. 29. Steinset K.	29. Boe J. 3. Gudmundsson O. 6. Hammer H. 4. Haram S. 19. Heiselberg F. 26. Larsen T. (G) 39. Lonebu K.
Coaches
Pimenta L.	Rekdal K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Bras D. (Own goal),
33', Kitolano J. 🟨,
35', 1 - 1, Hoyland M. ⚽,
40', 2 - 1, Flataker E. ⚽, Hintsa O. (A),
42', Kitolano J. ↓, Haram S. ↑,
45+3', Flaten J. ↓, Hagen V. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 3)
52', 2 - 2, Braga C. (Pen),
53', Vapne L. 🟨,
61', Vapne L. ↓, Borgthorsson O. ↑,
67', Melland H. ↓, Hammer H. ↑,
71', Ngongo P. ↓, Heiselberg F. ↑,
71', Andresen M. ↓, Boe J. ↑,
72', 2 - 3, Haram S. ⚽,
73', Hoyland M. 🟨,
80', Hintsa O. ↓, Mensah E. ↑,
80', Oren M. ↓, Haruna J. ↑,
80', Granheim S. A. ↓, Onyango R. ↑,
89', Braga C. 🟨,
90+3', 3 - 3, Hagen V. ⚽,
90+4', 3 - 4, Johannsson D. ⚽, Braga C. (A),

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sogndal won 1.

Sogndal has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aalesunds is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aalesunds will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sogndal won 8 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 25:28 (average 1.3:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Sogndal won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 13:12 (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.03.25	Start - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Åsane - Sogndal	4:0 ✺
15.03.25	Brann - Sogndal	3:1 ✺
26.02.25	Sogndal - Hødd	1:2 ✺
22.02.25	Sogndal - Lyn	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LLLLT
- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
31.03.25	Aalesunds - Lillestrøm SK	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Kristiansund - Aalesunds	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Lyn - Aalesunds	4:5 ✺
08.03.25	Tromsø - Aalesunds	0:1 ✺
22.02.25	Aalesunds - Levanger	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.10.24	Sogndal - Aalesunds	0:1
16.05.24	Aalesunds - Sogndal	0:2
Club Friendly
23.02.24	Sogndal - Aalesunds	2:3
25.02.23	Aalesunds - Sogndal	3:0
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
17.10.21	Aalesunds - Sogndal	3:0
18.06.21	Sogndal - Aalesunds	2:0
Club Friendly
21.04.21	Aalesunds - Sogndal	1:0

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