Match Info

NM Cup - 1/32-finals

Date: 24 April 2025, Thursday

Location: Jessheim Stadion (Jessheim)


	Ullensaker Kisa		Aalesunds

	1	X	2
	3.75	4.2	1.65
	3.5	3.7	1.78
	4.1	4.2	1.62
	4.2	4.8	1.68
	4.03	4.58	1.67	Watch
	3.7	3.6	1.83
	3.89	4.36	1.71
	4.1	4.2	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.91 ↓ (4.95)	4.21 ↓ (4.37)	1.7 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ullensaker Kisa
23.6%

Draw
21.9%

Aalesunds
54.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.4%

20.9%

60.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.9%

20.3%

62.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ullensaker Kisa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ullensaker Kisa's performance.

Aalesunds has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aalesunds might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ullensaker Kisa than the current prediction. (-5.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Ullensaker Kisa that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aalesunds than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aalesunds could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Ullensaker Kisa - Aalesunds Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Aalesunds will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Ull Kisa won 1.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Ull Kisa could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Aalesunds is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Ull Kisa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 9:11 (average 1.5:1.8).

Including matches at home between the teams Ull Kisa won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ullensaker Kisa
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
17.04.25	Ullensaker Kisa - Kjelsås	1:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
12.04.25	Nordstrand - Ullensaker Kisa	3:4 penalties ✺
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 2
05.04.25	Hønefoss - Ullensaker Kisa	0:1 ✺
29.03.25	Ullensaker Kisa - Eidsvold Turn	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
22.03.25	Ullensaker Kisa - Notodden	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWLT
- Aalesunds FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.04.25	Aalesunds - Mjøndalen	0:0 ✺
05.04.25	Sogndal - Aalesunds	3:4 ✺
31.03.25	Aalesunds - Lillestrøm SK	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
23.03.25	Kristiansund - Aalesunds	2:1 ✺
11.03.25	Lyn - Aalesunds	4:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.11.21	Aalesunds - Ullensaker Kisa	4:2
27.06.21	Ullensaker Kisa - Aalesunds	0:1
29.09.19	Ullensaker Kisa - Aalesunds	2:2
02.06.19	Aalesunds - Ullensaker Kisa	1:0
02.09.18	Ullensaker Kisa - Aalesunds	3:0
10.06.18	Aalesunds - Ullensaker Kisa	3:2

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