Match Info

NORWAY: DIVISION 2 - GROUP 1 - ROUND 25

Date: 4 November 2023, Saturday


	Grorud		Arendal

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.5	2.2
	2.75	3.85	2.21
	2.75	3.75	2.22
	2.73	3.7	2.15
	2.65	3.65	2.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.22)	3.69 ↓ (3.72)	2.21 ↓ (2.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grorud
34%

Draw
24.7%

Arendal
41.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

24.4%

34.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

25.1%

33.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grorud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Grorud's form might have worsened.

Arendal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arendal's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grorud than the current prediction. (+8.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grorud, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arendal than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Arendal, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Grorud - Arendal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Storsve V. (G) 3. Agelin T. 4. Andersen M. 6. Beck S. 16. Dubois M. 25. Henriksen S. 14. Hristov N. 7. Johansen P. 2. Sandrakumar M. 9. Sereba D. (C) 8. Yousef H.	37. Brauti J. (G) 5. Andersen S. 4. Bergan V. 10. Berge S. 3. Egell-Johnsen K. 19. Habestad O. 20. Johansen M. 15. Lereng E. 14. Makiadi A. 16. Marthinussen S. 6. Salte T. (C)
Substitutes
19. Aarflot E. 31. Braten M. 20. Elmi S. 18. Etholm T. 27. Finnoy F. 17. Nahiry E. 12. Normann S. O. (G) 23. Rye O. N.	8. Christensen R. L. 9. Frederiksen J. 2. Fredriksen J. 13. Kiilerich S. 18. Koko J. 29. Lille-Lovo S. 7. Skeie P. 27. Skjaevestad B. (G) 11. Torp M.

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 6 and 3).

Recent matches Grorud is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Arendal is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Arendal will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Grorud won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grorud IL
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
29.10.23	Aalesunds 2 - Grorud	2:1 ✺
21.10.23	Grorud - Flekkerøy	1:3 ✺
07.10.23	Kjelsås - Grorud	1:1 ✺
30.09.23	Grorud - Vard Haugesund	4:0 ✺
24.09.23	Egersund - Grorud	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.9 LLTWT
- Arendal Fotball
Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
29.10.23	Arendal - Træff	4:0 ✺
22.10.23	Notodden - Arendal	3:0 ✺
07.10.23	Arendal - Vard Haugesund	2:0 ✺
01.10.23	Aalesunds 2 - Arendal	1:1 ✺
23.09.23	Arendal - Fram Larvik	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Division 2 - Group 1
16.04.23	Arendal - Grorud	2:1

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