Match Info

Date: 8 August 2022, Monday

Location: Grorud Matchbane (Oslo)

Referee: Sletner H. (Nor)


	Grorud		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	3.4	4.2	1.95
	3.25	3.6	1.95
	3.05	4.1	2
	3.2	3.8	1.94
	3.38	4.26	1.98
	3.25	3.5	1.95
	3.44	3.82	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3.06)	3.9 ↑ (3.46)	1.96 ↓ (2.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grorud
28.4%

Draw
23.9%

Kongsvinger
47.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.9%

26.4%

43.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.2%

25.8%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grorud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

Kongsvinger has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grorud than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (-3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
4.7%	9.3%	86%

Grorud - Kongsvinger Predictions

Users Predictions: Kongsvinger will win (37 of 43 users predict this - 86.05%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.69% – 96.41%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Preview

Outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 10).

Grorud has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Kongsvinger is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Kongsvinger could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Kongsvinger will have a mini benefit in this match.

Our prediction for today's Kongsvinger to win the game is with odds 2.01.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Grorud won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 7-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Grorud won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grorud IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.08.22	Stjørdals-Blink - Grorud	1:0 ✺
31.07.22	Grorud - KFUM-Kameratene Oslo	1:3 ✺
24.07.22	Fredrikstad - Grorud	3:1 ✺
18.07.22	Grorud - Mjøndalen	0:1 ✺
11.07.22	Sogndal - Grorud	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.08.22	Kongsvinger - Bryne	2:1 ✺
31.07.22	Kongsvinger - Mjøndalen	2:1 ✺
25.07.22	Brann - Kongsvinger	3:0 ✺
17.07.22	Kongsvinger - Stjørdals-Blink	5:0 ✺
11.07.22	Fredrikstad - Kongsvinger	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.06.22	Kongsvinger - Grorud	2:2
07.12.20	Grorud - Kongsvinger	4:0
20.07.20	Kongsvinger - Grorud	0:1

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