Match Info

Date: 11 July 2022, Monday

Location: Fosshaugane Campus (Sogndal)

Referee: Haugen J. (Nor)


	Sogndal		Grorud

	1	X	2
	1.57	4.75	4.75
	1.57	4.2	4.75
	1.55	4.6	4.7
	1.56	4.3	4.7
	1.58	4.8	5.03
	1.55	3.75	5
	1.55	4.6	5.1	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.56 ↓ (1.74)	4.43 ↑ (3.7)	4.86 ↑ (4.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sogndal
59.7%

Draw
21.1%

Grorud
19.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.7%

24.7%

22.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

24.8%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sogndal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sogndal's performance.

Grorud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sogndal than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sogndal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grorud than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.2%	8.2%	6.6%

Sogndal - Grorud Predictions

Users Predictions: Sogndal will win (52 of 61 users predict this - 85.25%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76.35% – 94.15%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 14 in the zone OBOS~ligaen (Relegation)).

Sogndal is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Grorud has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Grorud could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Sogndal is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Sogndal won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Sogndal won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sogndal Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
07.07.22	Sogndal - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
03.07.22	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Sogndal	3:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
30.06.22	KFUM-Kameratene Oslo - Sogndal	1:2 penalties ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.06.22	Sogndal - Mjøndalen	1:0 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
23.06.22	Bjarg - Sogndal	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 TLWWW
- Grorud IL
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
07.07.22	Grorud - Sandnes Ulf	1:3 ✺
03.07.22	Skeid - Grorud	3:2 ✺
27.06.22	Grorud - Brann	0:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
23.06.22	Ullensaker Kisa - Grorud	2:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.06.22	Kongsvinger - Grorud	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
18.09.21	Grorud - Sogndal	1:2
17.07.21	Sogndal - Grorud	1:0
21.11.20	Sogndal - Grorud	2:1
13.07.20	Grorud - Sogndal	3:1

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