Match Info

NORWAY: OBOS-LIGAEN - ROUND 15

Date: 9 July 2023, Sunday

Location: Fredrikstad Stadion (Fredrikstad)

Referee: Kellerhals M. (Nor)


	Fredrikstad		Kongsvinger

	1	X	2
	2.2	3.4	3.4	Watch
	2.15	3.3	3
	2.4	3.25	2.85
	2.16	3.42	3.46
	2.25	3.2	2.88
	2.25	3.4	3.14
	2.23	3.35	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.23 ↓ (2.39)	3.33 ↑ (3)	3.09 ↑ (2.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fredrikstad
41.8%

Draw
28%

Kongsvinger
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.2%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4%

31.4%

30.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fredrikstad has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Kongsvinger has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fredrikstad than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kongsvinger than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
73.1%	19.2%	7.7%

Fredrikstad - Kongsvinger Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Fredrikstad will win (votes: 19 - 73.1%). Kongsvinger will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 19.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fredrikstad: 56.1% – 90.1%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Jensen H. (G) 6. Aukland P. 26. Nielsen M. 3. Skaret B. 5. Rafn S. (C) 12. Metcalfe P. 19. Magnusson J. 27. Hendriksson B. 4. Molde S. 14. Bjartalid J. 11. Alba R.	31. Smedplass A. (G) 16. Hellan M. 5. Holme F. 3. Grodas V. 12. Haakenstad M. 10. Gerson L. 6. Holter H. 20. Grundt J. 9. Guven A. (C) 18. Holtan J. 23. Vinjor M.
Substitutes
20. Asheim H. 18. Begby L. 2. Bjorkstrom T. 21. Jansson O. 16. Konte A. 25. Langbraten O. (G) 10. Lima L. 23. Maden M. 24. Williams N.	13. Aadnoy M. 15. Eriksen M. 19. Jahr K. 41. Lindegaard M. (G) 21. Lysgard D. 11. Marthinussen S. 8. Moberg V. 14. Pedersen B. 2. Solnordal O.
Coaches
Thomassen M.	Hansen V.

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 2.

Now both teams are in good shape.

Fredrikstad could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Fredrikstad will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Fredrikstad won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12-11.

Including matches at home between the teams Fredrikstad won 0 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fredrikstad FK
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.07.23	Fredrikstad - Ranheim	4:0 ✺
24.06.23	Sogndal - Fredrikstad	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	Fredrikstad - Start	3:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
07.06.23	Fredrikstad - Viking Stavanger	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.06.23	Raufoss - Fredrikstad	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WWWLT
- Kongsvinger IL Toppfotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
02.07.23	Kongsvinger - Start	2:1 ✺
25.06.23	Moss - Kongsvinger	0:1 ✺
11.06.23	Kongsvinger - Ranheim	3:0 ✺
04.06.23	Åsane - Kongsvinger	1:2 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
01.06.23	Gjøvik-Lyn - Kongsvinger	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
04.02.23	Kongsvinger - Fredrikstad	0:2
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
29.10.22	Kongsvinger - Fredrikstad	0:1
11.07.22	Fredrikstad - Kongsvinger	0:0
24.09.17	Kongsvinger - Fredrikstad	3:2
20.06.17	Fredrikstad - Kongsvinger	1:1
23.10.16	Fredrikstad - Kongsvinger	1:1
19.06.16	Kongsvinger - Fredrikstad	1:2

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