Match Info

ITALY: SERIE D - GROUP E - ROUND 29

Date: 28 March 2024, Thursday

Location: Stadio Carlo Zecchini (Grosseto)


	Grosseto		Mobilieri Ponsacco

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.9	5.25
	1.46	3.66	5.09
	1.47	4.05	5.89
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.41)	3.87 ↓ (4.5)	5.41 ↓ (5.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grosseto
60.5%

Draw
23%

Mobilieri Ponsacco
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.1%

20.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.9%

19.9%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Mobilieri Ponsacco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mobilieri Ponsacco than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
13', 0 - 1, Panattoni M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
71', 1 - 1, Cretella R. ⚽,
75', 2 - 1, Romairone A. ⚽,
90+3', 2 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group E (Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Grosseto is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Mobilieri Ponsacco is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Grosseto is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Grosseto won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Grosseto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie D - Group E
23.03.24	Ghivizzano Borgo a Mozzano - Grosseto	3:3 ✺
17.03.24	Grosseto - Trestina	2:1 ✺
10.03.24	Poggibonsi - Grosseto	1:2 ✺
03.03.24	Grosseto - Figline	3:3 ✺
25.02.24	SanGiovanniValdarno - Grosseto	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 TWWTT
- Mobilieri Ponsacco
Italian Serie D - Group E
24.03.24	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro	0:0 ✺
17.03.24	Montevarchi - Mobilieri Ponsacco	1:1 ✺
10.03.24	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Orvietana	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Pianese - Mobilieri Ponsacco	0:1 ✺
25.02.24	Mobilieri Ponsacco - San Donato Tavarnelle	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 25.2 TTTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
19.11.23	Mobilieri Ponsacco - Grosseto	1:1
29.01.23	Grosseto - Mobilieri Ponsacco	3:1

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