Match Info

Serie D - Group E - Round 23

Date: 8 February 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Carlo Zecchini (Grosseto)


	Grosseto		Trestina

	1	X	2
	1.28	4.85	8.1
	1.32	4.63	8.27
	1.28	4.55	9.9
	1.32	4.75	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.3 ↓ (1.52)	4.7 ↑ (3.78)	8.44 ↑ (5.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grosseto
69.9%

Draw
19.4%

Trestina
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.1%

24.1%

15.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.6%

23.1%

15.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grosseto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grosseto's performance.

Trestina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (-7.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grosseto that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trestina than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Grosseto - Trestina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
79', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+13', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+19', 2 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 15 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Grosseto won 3.

In recent matches, Grosseto has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Trestina has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Grosseto is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Grosseto won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:7. (average 1.3:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Grosseto won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Grosseto
Italian Serie D - Group E
01.02.26	Camaiore - Grosseto	1:0 ✺
25.01.26	Grosseto - Cannara	6:0 ✺
18.01.26	Montevarchi - Grosseto	0:3 ✺
11.01.26	Foligno - Grosseto	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Grosseto - Seravezza Pozzi	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWWLW
- SC Trestina
Italian Serie D - Group E
01.02.26	Trestina - Montevarchi	0:1 ✺
25.01.26	Foligno - Trestina	3:1 ✺
18.01.26	Trestina - Seravezza Pozzi	1:0 ✺
14.01.26	Trestina - San Donato Tavarnelle	3:3 ✺
11.01.26	Ghiviborgo - Trestina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LLWTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie D - Group E
04.10.25	Trestina - Grosseto	0:1
01.03.25	Trestina - Grosseto	2:1
27.10.24	Grosseto - Trestina	0:0
17.03.24	Grosseto - Trestina	2:1
05.11.23	Trestina - Grosseto	0:1
05.02.23	Trestina - Grosseto	0:0
05.01.20	Grosseto - Trestina	4:3

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