Match Info
Serie D - Group E - Round 26Date: 1 March 2026, Sunday
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 |
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 |
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Poggibonsi |
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Grosseto |
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1 |
X |
2 |
|
 |
5.5 |
3.5 |
1.55 |
|
 |
5.02 |
3.57 |
1.6 |
|
 |
5.23 |
3.65 |
1.59 |
Watch |
 |
5.5 |
3.3 |
1.57 |
|
 |
5.34 |
3.5 |
1.59 |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
5.32 ↓ (6.84) |
3.5 ↓ (4.38) |
1.58 ↑ (1.38) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 9.4%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Poggibonsi 17% | Draw 25.8% | Grosseto 57.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Poggibonsi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)Grosseto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Grosseto might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poggibonsi than the current prediction. (-3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grosseto than the current prediction. (+9.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Grosseto could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Poggibonsi - Grosseto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 68', 0 - 1, ⚽,
Preview
Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Serie D ~ Group E (Play Out: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion).In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Poggibonsi won 1.Poggibonsi is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).Grosseto has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3). In this match, Grosseto is the clear favorite.In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Poggibonsi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1:1.5).Including home matches between the teams, Poggibonsi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Italian Serie D - Group E | | | 26.10.25 | Grosseto - Poggibonsi | 3:1 | | 19.01.25 | Poggibonsi - Grosseto | 0:1 | | 22.09.24 | Grosseto - Poggibonsi | 1:2 | | 10.03.24 | Poggibonsi - Grosseto | 1:2 | | 01.11.23 | Grosseto - Poggibonsi | 1:0 | | 08.01.23 | Grosseto - Poggibonsi | 1:2 |
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Upcoming Matches
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;