Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 33

Date: 20 October 2024, Sunday

Location: Kitakami Stadium (Kitakami)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Grulla Morioka		Gifu

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.25	2.05
	3.25	3.3	2.03	Watch
	3.36	3.65	1.99
	3.42	3.6	2.02	Watch
	3.25	3.3	1.91
	3.41	3.35	1.97	Watch
	3.25	3.3	2.03
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (2.93)	3.39 ↓ (3.43)	2 ↓ (2.2)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grulla Morioka
27.7%

Draw
26.8%

Gifu
45.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31.3%

26.8%

41.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.5%

25%

39.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grulla Morioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Gifu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grulla Morioka, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (-6.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Gifu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
9.1%	9.1%	81.8%

Grulla Morioka - Gifu Predictions

Users Predictions: Gifu will win (9 of 11 users predict this - 81.82%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.03% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Inaba A. (G) 13. Kogure D. 24. Yamauchi S. 25. Yamato Y. 30. Adachi S. 7. Fukahori S. 17. Niizato R. 20. Shimogami S. 15. Kagami T. 46. Nakamura A. 39. Kawabe S.	50. Goto D. (G) 39. Endo G. 4. Kai K. 29. Nozawa R. 19. Matsumoto A. 23. Hagino K. 6. Kita R. 22. Mun In-Ju 27. Yokoyama T. 16. Nishitani R. 11. Fujioka K.
Substitutes
14. Matsubara K. 18. Miyaichi T. 45. Mizuno H. 22. Nishi D. 1. Okubo T. (G) 10. Otabor K. 19. Sato M.	24. Aihara S. 8. Araki D. 40. Kawakami R. 7. Kawanami O. 47. Nagai Y. 41. Nakayama K. (G) 37. Terasaka S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
3', 0 - 1, Nishitani R. ⚽,
6', 0 - 2, Fujioka K. ⚽, Matsumoto A. (A),
22', Yamato Y. ↓, Matsubara K. ↑,
27', Matsumoto A. 🟨,
32', 0 - 3, Fujioka K. ⚽, Nozawa R. (A),
38', Kogure D. 🟨,
40', Mun In-Ju 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Nakamura A. ↓, Otabor K. ↑,
47', Fukahori S. ↓, Mizuno H. ↑,
48', Mizuno H. 🟨,
62', Kawabe S. ↓, Sato M. ↑,
64', 0 - 4, Mizuno H. (Own goal),
65', Matsumoto A. ↓, Araki D. ↑,
65', Yokoyama T. ↓, Aihara S. ↑,
66', 0 - 5, Mun In-Ju ⚽, Kita R. (A),
75', Shimogami S. ↓, Miyaichi T. ↑,
79', Mun In-Ju ↓, Kawanami O. ↑,
79', Nozawa R. ↓, Terasaka S. ↑,
86', Kawanami O. 🟨,
87', Nishitani R. ↓, Nagai Y. ↑,
89', 0 - 6, Yamauchi S. (Own goal),
90+1', Sato M. 🟨,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
13.10.24	Gainare Tottori - Grulla Morioka	2:1 ✺
04.10.24	Osaka - Grulla Morioka	1:0 ✺
29.09.24	Grulla Morioka - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:1 ✺
22.09.24	YSCC - Grulla Morioka	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Grulla Morioka - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 LLWTL
- FC Gifu
Japan J3 League
11.10.24	Gifu - Nagano Parceiro	2:1 ✺
06.10.24	Fukushima United - Gifu	4:3 ✺
28.09.24	Gifu - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:0 ✺
21.09.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Gifu	2:0 ✺
14.09.24	Gifu - Sagamihara	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
24.03.24	Gifu - Grulla Morioka	3:1
19.11.23	Grulla Morioka - Gifu	2:1
02.07.23	Gifu - Grulla Morioka	0:0
17.10.21	Gifu - Grulla Morioka	2:2
16.05.21	Grulla Morioka - Gifu	0:2
25.10.20	Grulla Morioka - Gifu	0:4
08.08.20	Gifu - Grulla Morioka	1:1

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