Match Info

J3 League - Round 19

Date: 6 July 2025, Sunday

Location: Gifu Memorial Center Nagaragawa Ball Field (Gifu)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Gifu		Sagamihara

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.68	3	2.45	Watch
	2.73	3.22	2.59
				Watch
	2.62	3	2.5
	2.64	3.13	2.44	Watch
	2.29	3.13	2.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.58 ↑ (2.27)	3.1 (3.1)	2.57 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gifu
35.3%

Draw
29.3%

Sagamihara
35.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40%

29.3%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

29.8%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gifu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Sagamihara has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gifu than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Gifu, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagamihara than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sagamihara, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	80%	20%

Gifu - Sagamihara Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Sagamihara will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 75%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Sagamihara (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sagamihara (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Mogi S. (G) 26. Ogushi S. 40. Hirase D. 4. Kai K. 22. Mun In-Ju 28. Hakozaki T. 23. Hagino K. 24. Aihara S. 16. Nishitani R. 55. Toyama R. 11. Sasaki K.	46. Baumann N. (G) 3. Pytlik K. 33. Tokida M. 2. Kato D. 26. Nishikubo S. 4. Shimakawa T. 16. Takano R. 8. Osako R. 17. Takeuchi T. 11. Muto Y. 9. Rafael Furtado
Substitutes
9. Dudu 5. Ishida R. 10. Kita R. 7. Nakamura J. 3. Nozawa R. 14. Oiji Y. 31. Serantes J. (G) 37. Terasaka S. 27. Yokoyama T.	97. Fujinuma T. 15. Maeda T. 1. Miura M. (G) 27. Nishiyama T. 24. Sugimoto R. 14. Takagi A. 80. Takai K. 5. Tashiro M. 6. Tokunaga Y.
Coaches
Ohashi H.	Stalph Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Sasaki K. ⚽, Nishitani R. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Nishitani R. ↓, Nakamura J. ↑,
46', Takeuchi T. ↓, Tokunaga Y. ↑,
52', Shimakawa T. 🟨,
54', Toyama R. ↓, Nozawa R. ↑,
63', Osako R. ↓, Maeda T. ↑,
63', Nishikubo S. ↓, Fujinuma T. ↑,
65', Hagino K. ↓, Kita R. ↑,
66', Aihara S. 🟨,
70', 1 - 1, Maeda T. ⚽, Pytlik K. (A),
70', Muto Y. ↓, Sugimoto R. ↑,
77', Aihara S. ↓, Dudu ↑,
77', Hirase D. ↓, Terasaka S. ↑,
79', Rafael Furtado ↓, Takai K. ↑,
86', Kato D. ↓, Tashiro M. ↑,
87', Sasaki K. ↓, Yokoyama T. ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 in the zone J3 League (Relegation) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gifu won 1.

Gifu has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Sagamihara has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Gifu has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Gifu won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:9. (average 1.1:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Gifu won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 6:4. (average 1.5:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Gifu
Japan J3 League
28.06.25	Ryūkyū - Gifu	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Gifu - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:3 ✺
14.06.25	Nagano Parceiro - Gifu	1:2 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Shonan Bellmare - Gifu	2:0 ✺
Japan J3 League
07.06.25	Kagoshima United - Gifu	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLL
- SC Sagamihara
Japan J3 League
28.06.25	Sagamihara - Azul Claro Numazu	3:1 ✺
21.06.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Sagamihara	0:0 ✺
14.06.25	Sagamihara - Kochi United	0:0 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Júbilo Iwata - Sagamihara	1:2 ✺
Japan J3 League
07.06.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Sagamihara	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.1 WTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
14.09.24	Gifu - Sagamihara	1:2
06.04.24	Sagamihara - Gifu	1:1
16.09.23	Sagamihara - Gifu	1:1
18.06.23	Gifu - Sagamihara	2:1
30.10.22	Sagamihara - Gifu	0:0
15.05.22	Gifu - Sagamihara	2:0
31.10.20	Gifu - Sagamihara	1:1

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