Match Info

JAPAN: J3 League - Round 31

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday

Location: Hanazono Rugby Stadium (Higashiosaka)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	Osaka		Grulla Morioka

	1	X	2
	1.49	3.7	5.75
	1.5	3.8	5.8	Watch
	1.54	3.98	6.04
	1.54	3.92	6.19	Watch
	1.44	3.8	5.8
	1.48	3.86	6.07	Watch
	1.5	3.8	5.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.55)	3.84 ↑ (3.75)	5.92 ↑ (5.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Osaka
60.8%

Draw
23.8%

Grulla Morioka
15.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

24.1%

17.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.1%

23.3%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Grulla Morioka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grulla Morioka than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Osaka - Grulla Morioka Predictions

Users Predictions: Osaka will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Nagai T. (G) 2. Mima K. 47. Minakuchi Y. 23. Akiyama T. 6. Tachino S. 10. Kubo R. 33. Woo S. 25. Takei S. 19. Masuda S. 34. Furukawa D. 43. Nishimura M.	1. Okubo T. (G) 18. Miyaichi T. 24. Yamauchi S. 17. Niizato R. 15. Kagami T. 30. Adachi S. 4. Fukagawa D. 6. Takahashi S. 32. Kamisasanuki M. 10. Otabor K. 39. Kawabe S.
Substitutes
42. Everton Kanela 44. Fofana M. 20. Haga A. 98. Joao Moura 38. Natsukawa Y. 9. Shimada T. 31. Yamada K. (G)	41. Domoto H. 7. Fukahori S. 51. Fukatsu K. 21. Inaba A. (G) 11. Kiri S. 13. Kogure D. 45. Mizuno H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Kagami T. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Kubo R. ⚽,
37', Takei S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Kamisasanuki M. ↓, Kiri S. ↑,
46', Miyaichi T. ↓, Fukatsu K. ↑,
58', Takahashi S. ↓, Mizuno H. ↑,
62', Fukatsu K. 🟨,
63', Nishimura M. ↓, Shimada T. ↑,
65', Otabor K. ↓, Fukahori S. ↑,
74', Takei S. ↓, Haga A. ↑,
74', Furukawa D. ↓, Everton Kanela ↑,
77', Niizato R. ↓, Domoto H. ↑,
88', Masuda S. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,

Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 9 and 20).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Osaka is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Osaka won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:3 (average 1.3:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Osaka won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Osaka
Japan J3 League
28.09.24	Ryūkyū - Osaka	1:1 ✺
23.09.24	Osaka - Fukushima United	1:2 ✺
15.09.24	Azul Claro Numazu - Osaka	0:1 ✺
07.09.24	Nagano Parceiro - Osaka	0:2 ✺
30.08.24	Osaka - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 TLWWT
- Grulla Morioka
Japan J3 League
29.09.24	Grulla Morioka - Giravanz Kitakyushu	3:1 ✺
22.09.24	YSCC - Grulla Morioka	0:0 ✺
14.09.24	Grulla Morioka - Vanraure Hachinohe	1:2 ✺
07.09.24	Ryūkyū - Grulla Morioka	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Grulla Morioka - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.7 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
14.04.24	Grulla Morioka - Osaka	0:1
09.09.23	Grulla Morioka - Osaka	0:3
18.03.23	Osaka - Grulla Morioka	0:3

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