Match Info

POLAND: III Liga - Group II - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2024, Friday


	Gryf Słupsk		Kotwica Kórnik

	1	X	2
	1.33	6.2	5.4
	1.69	4.06	4.01
	1.69	3.8	4.11	Watch
	1.34	6	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.82)	5.02 ↑ (3.75)	4.73 ↑ (3.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gryf Słupsk
61.7%

Draw
18.6%

Kotwica Kórnik
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

24.1%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.7%

23.7%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gryf Słupsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gryf Słupsk's performance.

Kotwica Kórnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kotwica Kórnik might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gryf Słupsk than the current prediction. (-11%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gryf Słupsk that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kotwica Kórnik than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kotwica Kórnik could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Gryf Słupsk - Kotwica Kórnik Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Mosiejko D. (Pen),
20', 2 - 0, Koniuszy M. ⚽,
29', 3 - 0, Wieckowski D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 3 - 1, Bordych P. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gryf Słupsk
Polish Division 3 - Group II
28.09.24	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Gryf Słupsk	0:1 ✺
21.09.24	Gryf Słupsk - Gedania Gdańsk	1:1 ✺
15.09.24	Lech Poznań 2 - Gryf Słupsk	1:2 ✺
30.08.24	Pogoń Szczecin II - Gryf Słupsk	1:1 ✺
25.08.24	Gryf Słupsk - Cartusia Kartuzy	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WTWTT
- Kotwica Kórnik
Polish Division 3 - Group II
29.09.24	Kotwica Kórnik - Noteć Czarnków	6:1 ✺
25.09.24	Kotwica Kórnik - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	1:2 ✺
21.09.24	Vineta Wolin - Kotwica Kórnik	1:3 ✺
07.09.24	Wda Świecie - Kotwica Kórnik	2:1 ✺
31.08.24	Kotwica Kórnik - Elana Toruń	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 WLWLW

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