Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 12

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Kotwica Kórnik		Noteć Czarnków

	1	X	2
	3.10	3.90	1.85
	2.80	3.50	2.08
	3.32	3.92	1.80
	3.32	4.07	1.83	Watch
	3.25	3.85	1.78
	3.52	3.84	1.77	Watch
	3.08	3.5	1.93
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.2 ↑ (3.08)	3.8 ↑ (3.5)	1.86 ↓ (1.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kotwica Kórnik
28.1%

Draw
23.7%

Noteć Czarnków
48.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.8%

25.3%

45.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.5%

24.2%

48%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kotwica Kórnik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Noteć Czarnków has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kotwica Kórnik than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Noteć Czarnków than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

Kotwica Kórnik - Noteć Czarnków Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 16th in the Relegation and 7th).

Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.

Noteć Czarnków is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Kotwica Kórnik has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:1 (averaging 3.5:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Kotwica Kórnik against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 6:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Notec Czarnkow	14	6	2	6	20:19	1	20
18	Kotwica Kornik	14	3	2	9	20:38	-18	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kotwica Kórnik
Polish Division 3 - Group II
03.10.26	Unia Swarzędz - Kotwica Kórnik	7:0 ✺
26.09.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Grom Nowy Staw	1:3 ✺
19.09.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Kotwica Kórnik	6:1 ✺
12.09.26	Kotwica Kórnik - Lipno Stęszew	4:1 ✺
05.09.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Kotwica Kórnik	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 LLLWW
- MKS Noteć Czarnków
Polish Division 3 - Group II
03.10.26	Noteć Czarnków - Flota Świnoujście	3:0 ✺
26.09.26	Luzino - Noteć Czarnków	2:0 ✺
19.09.26	Noteć Czarnków - Polonia Środa Wielkopolska	0:0 ✺
12.09.26	Lech Poznań 2 - Noteć Czarnków	2:1 ✺
05.09.26	Noteć Czarnków - Kluczevia Stargard	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 WLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
26.04.25	Noteć Czarnków - Kotwica Kórnik	0:1
29.09.24	Kotwica Kórnik - Noteć Czarnków	6:1

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