The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Grêmio Juventus 42.5%
Draw 31.4%
Camboriú 26.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
47.3%
30.4%
22.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
29.5%
21.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grêmio Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)
Camboriú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grêmio Juventus than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Grêmio Juventus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camboriú than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
Grêmio Juventus - Camboriú Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
77', 0 - 1, Nilton ⚽,
83', 1 - 1, Matheus Arcanjo ⚽,
Penalties (6 - 7)
1, Wermeson (Pen),
1, Jeffinho (Pen),
2, Vitinho (Pen),
2, Victor Massaia (Pen),
3, Nadson (Pen),
3, Dieguinho (Pen),
4, Joao Lenger (Pen),
4, Luis D. (Pen),
5, Joao Vitor (Pen),
5, Alves L. (Pen),
6, Matheus Recife (Pen),
6, Camargo (Pen),
7, Danilo Mendes (Pen),
7, Matheus Arcanjo (Pen),
8, Roni Santos (Pen),
8, Bahia W. (Pen),
Preview
1st leg result: 1-1. 2nd leg.
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Grêmio Juventus may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Grêmio Juventus might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Grêmio Juventus won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:4. (average 1.3:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Grêmio Juventus won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
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