The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Camboriú 43%
Draw 30.6%
Carlos Renaux 26.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.6%
30.9%
25.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.3%
31.4%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Camboriú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
Carlos Renaux has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Camboriú than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Carlos Renaux than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Camboriú - Carlos Renaux Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
66', 1 - 0, ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, ⚽,
74', 🟥,
Preview
1st leg.
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
Camboriú has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Carlos Renaux is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Carlos Renaux may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Camboriú will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Camboriú won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.5:1.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Camboriú won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:3. (average 0:1.5).