The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Metropolitano 37.7%
Draw 30.5%
Camboriú 31.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.2%
28.6%
27.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
29%
26.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Metropolitano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Metropolitano's form might have worsened.
Camboriú has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Metropolitano than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Metropolitano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Camboriú than the current prediction. (-5%)
Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Catarinense 2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Metropolitano has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Camboriú is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Camboriú may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Metropolitano might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Metropolitano won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1:0.3).
Including home matches between the teams, Metropolitano won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0. (average 0.5:0).
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