Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO PAULISTA A2 - ROUND 15

Date: 11 March 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Sao Paulo)


	Grêmio Novorizontino		CA Juventus

	1	X	2
	1.68	3.3	5.25
	1.77	3.15	4.4
	1.65	3.41	5.44
	1.66	3.54	5.25	Watch
	1.72	3.25	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.7 ↓ (1.82)	3.33 ↑ (3.24)	5.03 ↑ (4.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
54.2%

Draw
27.6%

CA Juventus
18.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.8%

28%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.8%

26.9%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

CA Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CA Juventus than the current prediction. (+3%)

Grêmio Novorizontino - CA Juventus Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Paulista A2 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 9).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Novorizontino is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
05.03.23	Taubaté - Grêmio Novorizontino	0:3 ✺
01.03.23	Velo Clube - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:0 ✺
25.02.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - EC Noroeste	2:2 ✺
18.02.23	Osasco Sporting - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
15.02.23	Grêmio Novorizontino - Rio Claro	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 WLTLW
- CA Juventus
Brazilian Campeonato Paulista A2
05.03.23	CA Juventus - EC Lemense	4:0 ✺
01.03.23	Atlético Monte Azul - CA Juventus	1:1 ✺
25.02.23	CA Juventus - Portuguesa Santista	1:1 ✺
19.02.23	Velo Clube - CA Juventus	1:0 ✺
15.02.23	CA Juventus - Osasco Sporting	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTTLL

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