Match Info

Date: 3 September 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadio Dr. Jorge Ismael de Biasi (Sao Paulo)

Referee: Alves P. (Bra)


	Grêmio Novorizontino		CS Alagoano

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3	4.33
	1.91	2.95	4.25
	1.95	3.05	4
	1.96	3.09	4.96
	1.91	3	4.4
	1.86	3.2	4.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↓ (2.12)	3.05 ↓ (3.17)	4.42 ↑ (3.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Grêmio Novorizontino
48.5%

Draw
30.5%

CS Alagoano
21%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

29.5%

26.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46%

30.8%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)

CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CS Alagoano might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.3%	25%	16.7%

Grêmio Novorizontino - CS Alagoano Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Novorizontino will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). CSA will win (votes: 2 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Novorizontino: 30.4% – 86.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 13 and 14).

Recent matches Novorizontino is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

CSA is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Novorizontino could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Novorizontino will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Novorizontino won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Grêmio Novorizontino
Brazilian Serie B
30.08.22	Sport Recife - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
25.08.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Ponte Preta	1:1 ✺
19.08.22	Ituano - Grêmio Novorizontino	1:0 ✺
14.08.22	Grêmio Novorizontino - Criciúma	3:1 ✺
10.08.22	Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LTLWT
- CS Alagoano
Brazilian Serie B
30.08.22	CS Alagoano - Náutico Capibaribe	2:0 ✺
27.08.22	Operário Ferroviario - CS Alagoano	0:0 ✺
18.08.22	CS Alagoano - Vasco da Gama	2:0 ✺
13.08.22	Sport Recife - CS Alagoano	4:0 ✺
09.08.22	CS Alagoano - Brusque	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
28.05.22	CS Alagoano - Grêmio Novorizontino	2:1

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