The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
CS Alagoano 23.8%
Draw 29.6%
Vasco da Gama 46.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30%
30.5%
39.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.9%
30.4%
39.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CS Alagoano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CS Alagoano's form might have worsened.
Vasco da Gama has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Vasco da Gama's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for CS Alagoano than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CS Alagoano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vasco da Gama than the current prediction. (-7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Vasco da Gama, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
16.7%
66.7%
16.7%
CS Alagoano - Vasco da Gama Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. CSA will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Vasco will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 66.7%).
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Gabriel Felix (G) 2. Felipe Albuquerque 4. Islan 3. Betao 6. Enzo 5. Camacho (C) 8. Gustavo Nicola 10. Brayann 7. Luciano Naninho 11. Guilherme Cachoeira 9. Tiago Marques
1. Leo Jardim (G) 96. Paulo Henrique 38. Joao Victor 4. Lemos M. 6. Lucas Piton 25. Hugo Moura 3. Tche Tche 17. Moreira N. 77. Rayan 99. Vegetti P. (C) 7. David
Substitutes
18. Adiel 21. Baianinho 14. Diogo Batista 31. Georgemy (G) 19. Igor Bahia 13. Leo Costa 15. Luiz Gustavo 17. Marcelinho 16. Roberto 99. Robinho 20. Silas 22. Vander
90. Alex Teixeira 45. Augusto L. 10. Coutinho 13. Daniel Fuzato (G) 15. Garre B. 8. Jair 43. Lucas Freitas 85. Mateus Carvalho 18. Paulinho Paula 2. Rodriguez J. 23. Thiago Mendes 12. Victor Luis
Coaches
Marcio Fernandes
Fernando Diniz
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Lemos M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lemos M. ↓, Thiago Mendes ↑,
46', Luciano Naninho ↓, Baianinho ↑,
51', Camacho 🟨,
58', Joao Victor 🟨,
60', David ↓, Coutinho ↑,
68', Moreira N. ↓, Augusto L. ↑,
73', Tiago Marques ↓, Adiel ↑,
73', Brayann ↓, Silas ↑,
79', Lucas Piton 🟨,
80', Guilherme Cachoeira ↓, Marcelinho ↑,
83', Felipe Albuquerque 🟨,
86', Joao Victor 🟨,
89', Rayan ↓, Lucas Freitas ↑,
Preview
1st leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, CSA won 2.
CSA has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Vasco's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Vasco may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Vasco could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Vasco: Adson
(Broken Leg)
Coutinho
(Calf Injury)
There are questionable in Vasco: Thiago Mendes
(Inactive)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, CSA won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 7:7. (average 1.2:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, CSA won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Vasco da Gama - the odds 2.38 are the expected chance of winning is 39.44%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.
Brazil
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Gabriel Felix (G) 
Lemos M. 
Moreira N. 
Vegetti P. (C) 
Augusto L. 
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