The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Chapecoense 48.7%
Draw 30.1%
Grêmio Novorizontino 21.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.7%
30.7%
20.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.8%
30.6%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Chapecoense have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
Grêmio Novorizontino has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chapecoense than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grêmio Novorizontino than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
33.3%
33.3%
Chapecoense - Grêmio Novorizontino Predictions
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Chapecoense will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Novorizontino will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rafael Santos (G) 37. Clar W. 10. Giovanni Augusto (C) 4. Joao Paulo 5. Joao Vitor 2. Marcos Vinicius 31. Mauricio Garcez 18. Neto Pessoa 70. Rubens Ricoldi 17. Vinicius Balieiro 35. Vinicius Eduardo
12. Joao Scapin (G) 32. Antony 20. Castrillon N. 19. Diego Galo 26. Gabriel Bahia 35. Hector Bianchi 40. Jardiel 38. Magalhaes de Freitas L. G. 41. Reidiney 33. Renato Palm (C) 36. Tavares Miguel
Substitutes
98. Anderson (G) 11. Bolasie Y. 27. Camilo Reijers 48. Da Silva 45. Eduardo Doma 77. Italo 20. Jean Carlos 40. Joao Bom 7. Marcinho 99. Rafael Carvalheira 94. Ramirez K. 38. Wermeson
78. Arthur Barbosa 97. Bruninho 34. Edson Nogueira 61. Kaique 94. Pedrao (G) 54. Santos B. 49. Zenatti P.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
39', 0 - 1, Diego Galo ⚽,
41', 1 - 1, Neto Pessoa ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Joao Vitor ↓, Rafael Carvalheira ↑,
46', Mauricio Garcez ↓, Marcinho ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Rafael Carvalheira ⚽,
58', Giovanni Augusto ↓, Jean Carlos ↑,
69', Magalhaes de Freitas L. G. ↓, Bruninho ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Antony ⚽,
80', Jardiel ↓, Zenatti P. ↑,
81', Rubens Ricoldi ↓, Wermeson ↑,
89', Vinicius Balieiro ↓, Camilo Reijers ↑,
90', Jean Carlos 🟨,
Preview
First leg result: 2-0.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 2.
Recent performances by Chapecoense have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Novorizontino is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Chapecoense may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Chapecoense is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Chapecoense won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:8. (average 1.2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Chapecoense won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).
Watch
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Rafael Santos (G) 
Clar W. 
Castrillon N. 
Bolasie Y. 
Ramirez K. 
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