The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guabirá 50.1%
Draw 25.2%
Nacional Potosí 24.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.3%
26.2%
29.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.9%
25.8%
29.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guabirá's performance.
Nacional Potosí has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-5.2%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guabirá that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Potosí than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
50%
33.3%
16.7%
Guabirá - Nacional Potosí Predictions
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Guabirá will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Nacional Potosí will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
32. Gomez G. (G) 97. Gil S. 6. Anez C. (C) 21. Portillo M. 29. Masskooni N. 5. Cristobal R. 77. Thiago Ribeiro 7. Peredo G. 15. Rafinha 16. Pablo Melgar 11. Garzon S.
23. Galindo P. (G) 21. Baldomar O. 6. Restrepo E. 33. Demiquel L. 16. Torrico A. 22. Hoyos D. 10. Nunez M. 15. Arce Pari J. 18. Azogue P. (C) 24. Zeballos L. 99. Villalba D.
Substitutes
13. Arauz J. (G) 2. Barro J. 37. Chavez T. 27. Corrales R. 35. Da Silva D. 33. Fernandez D. 19. Flores J. 8. Moreno A. 20. Nacif M. 30. Paredes Gutierrez A. 24. Robles D. 4. Ruiz A.
27. Abastoflor C. 19. Alvarez W. 3. Amarilla N. 30. Martinez Y. 34. Medina K. 31. Mejia J. (G) 25. Orellana J. 28. Pena S. 29. Pinto D. 26. Quiroz K. 7. Solis M. 9. Tobar T.
Coaches
Eguez L.
Marquez A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Zeballos L. 🟨,
34', 0 - 1, Torrico A. ⚽,
40', Peredo G. 🟨,
42', Zeballos L. 🟨,
45+2', Pablo Melgar 🟨,
45+5', Demiquel L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Pablo Melgar ↓, Ruiz A. ↑,
46', Masskooni N. ↓, Da Silva D. ↑,
53', 1 - 1, Cristobal R. ⚽,
56', 2 - 1, Peredo G. ⚽, Anez C. (A),
59', Hoyos D. 🟨,
59', Hoyos D. 🟥,
62', Peredo G. ↓, Fernandez D. ↑,
65', Villalba D. ↓, Tobar T. ↑,
65', Nunez M. ↓, Martinez Y. ↑,
65', Arce Pari J. ↓, Medina K. ↑,
69', Cristobal R. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
70', Gil S. 🟨,
79', Garzon S. ↓, Paredes Gutierrez A. ↑,
82', Azogue P. ↓, Solis M. ↑,
82', Baldomar O. ↓, Quiroz K. ↑,
90', Rafinha 🟨,
90+4', Ruiz A. 🟥,
Preview
An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 2.
Guabirá is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
In recent matches, Nacional Potosí has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Guabirá may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Guabirá will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guabirá won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 26:37. (average 1.3:1.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Guabirá won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:9. (average 2:0.9).
Bolivia
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Gomez G. (G) 
Gil S. 
Portillo M. 
Cristobal R. 
Thiago Ribeiro 
Restrepo E. 
Solis M. 
