Match Info

Division Profesional - Round 5

Date: 2 May 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Sudamericano Félix Capriles (Cochabamba)

Referee: Rodriguez D. (Bol)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	Aurora		Guabirá

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.2	5	Watch
	1.52	4.45	4.75	Watch
	1.51	4.43	5.11
	1.54	4.52	5.03	Watch
	1.53	4	4.8
	1.5	4.3	5	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.47)	4.32 ↑ (4.28)	4.95 ↓ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aurora
60.2%

Draw
21.2%

Guabirá
18.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.5%

21.2%

17.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

20.6%

16.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aurora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Guabirá has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aurora than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Aurora - Guabirá Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Aurora will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Terrazas J. (G) 32. Altamirano S. 3. Barboza L. (C) 14. Lopez P. 21. Ortiz M. 7. Ramos J. 5. Amarilla A. 19. Sanchez E. 8. Viviani L. 9. Rangel M. 10. Ramallo R.	13. Arauz J. (G) 97. Gil S. 2. Barro J. 27. Corrales R. 19. Flores J. 77. Thiago Ribeiro 15. Rafinha 6. Anez C. (C) 7. Peredo G. 9. Ferrufino R. 16. Pablo Andres
Substitutes
2. Aguada M. 20. Araujo J. 16. Barro L. 12. Cordano R. (G) 27. Flores A. 11. Olivera D. 25. Rios A. 18. Rojas S. 69. Terrazas A. 33. Troncoso Caiti E. 28. Vaca O. 4. Vidaurre I.	5. Cristobal R. 35. Da Silva D. 1. Ferrel M. (G) 11. Garzon S. 17. Maciel M. 29. Masskooni N. 8. Moreno A. 20. Nacif M. 14. Parada J. 21. Portillo M. 10. Sanchez H.
Coaches
Umana G.	Eguez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
1', 0 - 1, Pablo Melgar ⚽, Peredo G. (A),
14', Rangel M. (Penalty Awarded),
26', Lopez P. 🟥,
28', Ramos J. ↓, Vidaurre I. ↑,
41', Gil S. ↓, Moreno A. ↑,
2nd Half (4 - 1)
46', Ferrufino R. ↓, Garzon S. ↑,
46', Rangel M. ↓, Terrazas A. ↑,
46', 1 - 1, Ortiz M. ⚽, Viviani L. (A),
48', Barro J. 🟨,
56', Barro J. 🟨,
57', Rafinha 🟨,
59', 2 - 1, Viviani L. ⚽, Barboza L. (A),
62', Rafinha ↓, Sanchez H. ↑,
65', 3 - 1, Viviani L. ⚽, Terrazas A. (A),
71', Thiago Ribeiro ↓, Maciel M. ↑,
71', Pablo Melgar ↓, Nacif M. ↑,
72', Sanchez H. 🟨,
77', 3 - 2, Maciel M. (Penalty Awarded),
78', Barboza L. ↓, Troncoso Caiti E. ↑,
81', Nacif M. 🟨,
81', Ramallo R. ↓, Araujo J. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 2, Amarilla A. ⚽, Terrazas A. (A),
90+5', Moreno A. 🟨,

Preview

A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 2.

Aurora has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Guabirá has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Aurora is seen as the favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Aurora won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:28. (average 1.2:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Aurora won 6 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 1.3:0.5).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Aurora	20	7	9	4	31:27	4	30
7	Guabira	20	8	5	7	32:39	-7	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Aurora
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.04.26	Aurora - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	3:1 ✺
21.04.26	GVCD San José - Aurora	1:1 ✺
11.04.26	Aurora - Always Ready	1:1 ✺
04.04.26	Real Potosí - Aurora	0:0 ✺
Club Friendly
17.03.26	Aurora - GVCD San José	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 WTTTL
- Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.04.26	Guabirá - Always Ready	1:2 ✺
22.04.26	Real Potosí - Guabirá	3:0 ✺
10.04.26	Guabirá - Independiente Petroleros	2:2 ✺
03.04.26	Blooming - Guabirá	5:0 ✺
Copa Sudamericana
03.03.26	Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá	0:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LLTLW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Copa Pacena
28.10.25	Aurora - Guabirá	4:0
11.10.25	Guabirá - Aurora	2:1
Bolivian Division Profesional
10.08.25	Aurora - Guabirá	0:2
04.04.25	Guabirá - Aurora	5:2
29.09.24	Aurora - Guabirá	2:1
19.05.24	Guabirá - Aurora	1:1
09.10.23	Aurora - Guabirá	1:0

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