Match Info

Copa Pacena - Round 3

Date: 8 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Estadio Ramon Tahuichi Aguilera Costas (Santa Cruz)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bolivia	Entel Gol 56


	Oriente Petrolero		Guabirá

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.70	3.80	3.70
	1.62	3.85	4.1	Watch
	1.61	4.1	4.22
	1.67	4.15	4.38	Watch
	1.56	3.75	4.1
	1.61	3.88	4.52	Watch
	1.64	4	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↓ (2.02)	3.93 ↑ (3.77)	4.17 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Oriente Petrolero
55.4%

Draw
23%

Guabirá
21.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

24.6%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

23.9%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Oriente Petrolero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Oriente Petrolero's performance.

Guabirá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Guabirá might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Oriente Petrolero than the current prediction. (-8.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Oriente Petrolero that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guabirá than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Guabirá could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	0%	25%

Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Oriente Petrolero will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Guabirá will win (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bernal J. (G) 24. Velasco M. 5. Virreira J. 28. Velasco J. 42. Roca D. 15. Gonzales Mejia F. (C) 40. Perdomo O. 91. Nacif N. 90. Pena A. 77. Herrera J. 10. Mamani M.	1. Ferrel M. (G) 97. Gil S. 6. Anez C. (C) 21. Portillo M. 29. Masskooni N. 37. Chavez T. 77. Thiago Ribeiro 7. Peredo G. 15. Rafinha 91. Abrego V. 11. Garzon S.
Substitutes
30. Berdecio J. 4. Bonilla M. 29. Escobar J. 7. Flores J. 17. Galindo S. 44. Lopez F. 20. Lovera J. 18. Mamani B. 3. Mizael Monteiro 9. Roskopf M. 8. Siles O. 1. Torrez Suarez A. W. (G)	13. Arauz J. (G) 2. Barro J. 27. Corrales R. 35. Da Silva D. 19. Flores J. 40. Lujan P. 17. Maciel M. 8. Moreno A. 16. Pablo Melgar 14. Parada J. 99. Pedro 22. Tellez M.
Coaches
Florentin G.	Eguez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Herrera J. 🟨,
45+4', 1 - 0, Herrera J. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Pena A. ↓, Roskopf M. ↑,
47', Mamani M. 🟨,
53', Mamani M. 🟨,
59', Chavez T. 🟨,
60', Gil S. ↓, Pablo Melgar ↑,
60', Perdomo O. ↓, Siles O. ↑,
60', Nacif N. ↓, Mizael Monteiro ↑,
60', Chavez T. ↓, Pedro ↑,
67', Abrego V. ↓, Tellez M. ↑,
75', Herrera J. ↓, Lovera J. ↑,
78', Rafinha ↓, Lujan P. ↑,
78', Garzon S. ↓, Maciel M. ↑,
86', Roca D. ↓, Lopez F. ↑,
89', Anez C. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 3.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Oriente Petrolero could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Oriente Petrolero won 12 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 38:24. (average 1.9:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Oriente Petrolero won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 22:9. (average 2.2:0.9).

Last Results with these Odds

Oriente Petrolero - the odds 2.02 are the expected chance of winning is 45.93%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Oriente Petrolero
Bolivian Division Profesional
05.09.26	Oriente Petrolero - Always Ready	1:2 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
30.08.26	Blooming - Oriente Petrolero	0:3 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.08.26	GVCD San José - Oriente Petrolero	3:3 ✺
21.08.26	Oriente Petrolero - San Antonio Bulo Bulo	4:0 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
18.08.26	The Strongest - Oriente Petrolero	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LWTWL
- Guabirá
Bolivian Division Profesional
05.09.26	Guabirá - Real Potosí	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
31.08.26	San Antonio Bulo Bulo - Guabirá	5:1 ✺
Bolivian Division Profesional
27.08.26	Independiente Petroleros - Guabirá	3:1 ✺
23.08.26	Guabirá - Blooming	1:1 ✺
Bolivian Copa Pacena
18.08.26	Guabirá - Universitario de Vinto	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Bolivian Division Profesional
14.05.26	Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá	2:2
03.11.25	Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá	4:0
Bolivian Copa Pacena
16.07.25	Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá	2:1
25.06.25	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	3:3
Bolivian Division Profesional
25.05.25	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	1:3
Bolivian Torneo Amistoso de Verano
23.02.25	Guabirá - Oriente Petrolero	3:2
16.02.25	Oriente Petrolero - Guabirá	1:0

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