Match Info

COSTA RICA: Liga de Ascenso - Apertura - Play Offs - Quarter-finals

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday

Location: Estadio Coyella Fonseca (San José)


	Guadalupe		Sarchi

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.7	4.5
	1.63	3.85	4.4	Watch
	1.61	3.92	4.76	Watch
	1.62	3.8	4.33
	1.6	3.82	4.71
	1.63	3.85	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↓ (2.38)	3.82 ↑ (3.4)	4.52 ↑ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guadalupe
56.2%

Draw
23.7%

Sarchi
20.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

26%

36.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

25.8%

37.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guadalupe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+19%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guadalupe's performance.

Sarchi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-16.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sarchi might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guadalupe than the current prediction. (-19.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guadalupe that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sarchi than the current prediction. (+17%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sarchi could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Guadalupe - Sarchi Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 1 - 0, ⚽,
79', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guadalupe FC
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
24.11.24	Sarchi - Guadalupe	0:1 ✺
03.11.24	Aserrí - Guadalupe	0:0 ✺
28.10.24	Guadalupe - Uruguay de Coronado	3:0 ✺
19.10.24	Turrialba - Guadalupe	5:1 ✺
Costa Rican Copa
10.10.24	Puntarenas FC - Guadalupe	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WTWLL
- AD Sarchi
Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
24.11.24	Sarchi - Guadalupe	0:1 ✺
27.10.24	Sarchi - Jicaral	0:1 ✺
20.10.24	Quepos - Sarchi	1:0 ✺
13.10.24	Municipal Grecia - Sarchi	1:1 ✺
09.10.24	Sarchi - Carmelita	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Liga de Ascenso
24.11.24	Sarchi - Guadalupe	0:1

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