Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 9

Date: 7 September 2026, Monday

Location: Estadio General Pablo Rojas (Asunción)

Referee: Benitez J. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Cerro Porteño		Nacional Asuncion

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.90	3.00	Watch
	2.25	2.85	3.10
	2.32	3.05	3.05	Watch
	2.38	2.90	3.58
	2.37	3.14	3.1	Watch
	2.35	2.80	3.50
	2.46	3.05	3.00	Watch
	2.25	2.85	3.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.33 ↑ (2.18)	2.94 ↓ (3.1)	3.18 ↓ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 6.25

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cerro Porteño
39.6%

Draw
31.4%

Nacional Asuncion
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.1%

29.6%

28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.1%

31%

27%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cerro Porteño has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

Nacional Asuncion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cerro Porteño than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional Asuncion than the current prediction. (-2%)

Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Roffo M. (G) 23. Velazquez G. (C) 14. Quintana Rodriguez L. A. 6. Merolla L. 13. Benitez A. G. 5. Morel J. 16. Ramirez I. 18. Gamarra A. 34. Chena C. 31. Aliseda I. 19. Vegetti P.	30. Rojas S. (G) 21. Feliu J. 26. Coronel M. 4. Gutierrez T. 5. Benitez G. 15. Cardozo Lucena A. 33. Gaona Lugo O. (C) 8. Jara F. 13. Meza L. 27. Prieto R. 9. Benitez H. A.
Substitutes
20. Almendra A. E. 32. Bobadilla C. 4. Canete Torres A. D. 30. Gimenez G. 33. Luciatti A. 12. Martinez A. (G) 36. Noguera F. 8. Paredes C. 15. Riveros B. 7. Rodriguez D. 39. Servin L. J. 27. Torres J.	20. Arguello R. 7. Bailone I. 10. Colman Escobar D. J. 23. Espinola C. 19. Gonzales L. 22. Melgarejo R. 32. Pumpido F. 25. Ramirez Antunez R. C. 28. Samudio A. 17. Santacruz Rodas J. F. 18. Valdez I. 35. Villar E. (G)
Coaches
Costas G.	Bernay V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Gaona Lugo O. ↓, Colman Escobar D. J. ↑,
59', Prieto R. ↓, Valdez I. ↑,
61', Benitez A. G. ↓, Riveros B. ↑,
61', Gamarra A. ↓, Bobadilla C. ↑,
76', Ramirez I. ↓, Canete Torres A. D. ↑,
76', Velazquez G. ↓, Rodriguez D. ↑,
79', Jara F. ↓, Bailone I. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Vegetti P. ⚽,
89', Meza L. ↓, Samudio A. ↑,
89', Costas G. 🟨,
90', Aliseda I. ↓, Gimenez G. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 4).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 2.

Cerro Porteño has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Nacional is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Cerro Porteño could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cerro Porteño won 10 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 31:18. (average 1.6:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Cerro Porteño won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:8. (average 1.2:0.8).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Nacional Asuncion	13	6	5	2	20:8	12	23
8	Cerro Porteno	13	5	2	6	15:14	1	17

Last Results with these Odds

Nacional Asuncion - the odds 3.25 are the expected chance of winning is 28.25%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cerro Porteño
Paraguayan Primera Division
03.09.26	Deportivo Recoleta - Cerro Porteño	1:3 ✺
30.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Libertad Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Copa Paraguay
27.08.26	Resistencia - Cerro Porteño	0:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
23.08.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	2:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
19.08.26	Cerro Porteño - Palmeiras	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTWLL
- Nacional Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
02.09.26	Nacional Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	3:0 ✺
28.08.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Nacional Asuncion	0:3 ✺
24.08.26	Nacional Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	2:0 ✺
Copa Paraguay
18.08.26	Benjamín Aceval - Nacional Asuncion	0:2 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
15.08.26	Sportivo Trinidense - Nacional Asuncion	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
11.04.26	Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	0:0
15.02.26	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	0:2
27.10.25	Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:2
08.08.25	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	0:0
15.04.25	Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	1:3
01.02.25	Cerro Porteño - Nacional Asuncion	3:1
10.11.24	Nacional Asuncion - Cerro Porteño	2:2

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