The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gualaceo 48%
Draw 28.2%
Cumbayá 23.8%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41.7%
30.6%
27.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
42.9%
30%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gualaceo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Gualaceo's performance.
Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (-5.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gualaceo that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Gualaceo - Cumbayá Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
26', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gualaceo won 4.
Gualaceo is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Performances by Cumbayá have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Gualaceo may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Gualaceo holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Gualaceo has recorded 6 wins, 1 draw, and 6 losses, with a goal aggregate of 14:13 (averaging 1.1:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Gualaceo against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with 6:6 goals (averaging 1:1 per game).
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