Match Info

Copa Ecuador - Quarter-finals

Date: 24 September 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Alejandro Serrano Aguilar (Cuenca) 🌤️ ...


	Gualaceo		Independiente del Valle

	1	X	2
	9.00	4.60	1.29
	11.50	4.65	1.37
	15.51	4.79	1.26
	9.60	3.55	1.35
	9.31	4.34	1.37
	8.80	4.60	1.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	10.62 ↑ (1.22)	4.42 ↓ (6.3)	1.32 ↓ (10.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gualaceo
8.8%

Draw
21%

Independiente del Valle
70.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

76.3%

14.8%

8.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-67.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gualaceo's form might have worsened.

Independiente del Valle has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+61.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Independiente del Valle's recent form is better than expected.

Gualaceo - Independiente del Valle Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Peralta W. (G) 80. Angulo G. 8. Coime J. 5. Corozo A. 77. Lugo J. 9. Mina A. 18. Padilla J. 3. Penarrieta J. 30. Quinonez J. 15. Salazar R. 14. Suarez D.	70. Peralta M. (G) 16. Briones R. 14. Carabajal M. 19. Loor L. 32. Mendez J. 31. Pata E. 11. Perello M. 99. Reasco D. 13. Romero Padilla D. A. 5. Schunke R. 10. Sornoza J.
Substitutes
4. Allauca F. 27. Armijos E. 21. Cabrera F. 7. Caicedo K. 37. Campana S. 34. Eras A. (G) 31. Loja C. 17. Rivas L. 22. Rivera A. 28. Solis M.	15. Cortez G. 4. Espinoza J. 20. Gomez A. 18. Gongora S. . Latorre D. 8. Ochoa Y. 1. Pico B. (G) 56. Quintero E. 57. Quintero H. 52. Vasquez Y. 33. Velasco A. 23. Viacava J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
31', 0 - 1, Reasco D. ⚽,
45+4', Pata E. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 🟨,
56', 🟨,
66', Reasco D. ↓, Vasquez Y. ↑,
68', 0 - 2, Perello M. ⚽,
71', Perello M. ↓, Gongora S. ↑,
71', Pata E. ↓, Quintero E. ↑,
76', (Penalty Awarded),
87', Briones R. ↓, Ochoa Y. ↑,
88', 🟨,

Preview

Ind del Valle has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Gualaceo has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Ind del Valle may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Gualaceo is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ind del Valle won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:2. (average 3:0.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Ind del Valle won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gualaceo SC
Ecuadorian Serie B
19.09.26	Gualaceo - LDU Portoviejo	0:0 ✺
10.09.26	Cumbayá - Gualaceo	0:1 ✺
04.09.26	22 de Julio - Gualaceo	Awarded ✺
29.08.26	Gualaceo - El Nacional	3:0 ✺
20.08.26	Cuenca Juniors - Gualaceo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 TW?WW
- Independiente del Valle
Copa Libertadores
17.09.26	Flamengo - Independiente del Valle	1:1 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
13.09.26	Libertad Loja - Independiente del Valle	2:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
10.09.26	Independiente del Valle - Flamengo	0:2 ✺
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
05.09.26	Independiente del Valle - Deportivo Macará	3:1 ✺
02.09.26	Barcelona Guayaquil - Independiente del Valle	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Ecuadorian Copa
08.10.25	Gualaceo - Independiente del Valle	0:6
Ecuadorian Liga Pro
08.10.23	Independiente del Valle - Gualaceo	2:0
06.05.23	Gualaceo - Independiente del Valle	1:2
13.08.22	Independiente del Valle - Gualaceo	2:0
02.04.22	Gualaceo - Independiente del Valle	1:3

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