The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Gualaceo 42.1%
Draw 32%
Cumbayá 26%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
43.8%
29.9%
26.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
45.7%
31.2%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gualaceo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
Cumbayá has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gualaceo than the current prediction. (+3.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cumbayá than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
54.5%
0%
45.5%
Gualaceo - Cumbayá Predictions
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Gualaceo will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Cumbayá will win (votes: 5 - 50%). Confidence interval (95%) for Gualaceo: 19% – 81%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
77', 🟥,
Preview
A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 10 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ) and 8 in the zone Serie B (Relegation Group: ))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gualaceo won 2.
Gualaceo has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Cumbayá is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Gualaceo may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Gualaceo might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Gualaceo won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 12:13. (average 1.1:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Gualaceo won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:6. (average 1:1.2).