Match Info

COSTA RICA: Primera Division - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 26 January 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Carlos Ugalde Álvarez (Ciudad Quesada)

Where to Watch on TV:


Costa-rica	Tigo Sports


	San Carlos		Guanacasteca

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.75	4
	1.73	3.4	4.1
	1.79	3.67	4.6
	1.77	3.63	4.42	Watch
	1.8	3.4	4.33
	1.75	3.56	4.37	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.74)	3.57 ↓ (3.74)	4.3 ↑ (4.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Carlos
52.5%

Draw
25.9%

Guanacasteca
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.1%

24.7%

22.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Carlos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Guanacasteca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	20%	40%

San Carlos - Guanacasteca Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. San Carlos will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Guanacasteca will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lezcano A. (G) 2. Rivera R. 6. Piedra Y. 16. Castillo G. 18. Peraza J. 28. Mendez J. 11. Cordoba R. (C) 29. Villan U. Y. M. 10. Chirino R. 9. Martinez B. 39. Cruz E.	13. Mejia J. (G) 2. Morera P. 14. Mendez G. 5. Molina Y. 27. Matarrita J. 8. Olivero J. (C) 22. Mora J. 88. Matarrita S. 17. Rodriguez N. 24. Ugalde J. 21. Brown J.
Substitutes
4. Fonseca P. 32. Hamm K. 31. Hernandez E. 77. Murcia B. 26. Rojas O. 38. Salas A. 23. Vega J. (G)	10. Cordoba J. 28. Forvis E. D. (G) 26. Hernandez J. 20. Leal P. 30. Porras J. A. 42. Saravia H. 23. Venegas F.
Coaches
Arriola M.	Arias Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', Brown J. 🟨,
61', Matarrita S. ↓, Venegas F. ↑,
61', Ugalde J. ↓, Porras J. A. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Martinez B. ⚽,
70', 1 - 1, Brown J. ⚽,
75', Brown J. ↓, Cordoba J. ↑,
75', Mora J. ↓, Hernandez J. ↑,
82', Cruz E. ↓, Murcia B. ↑,
82', Olivero J. 🟨,
86', Matarrita J. ↓, Saravia H. ↑,
90', Peraza J. ↓, Hamm K. ↑,
90+7', Hamm K. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 10).

Last 5 head-to-head matches San Carlos won 1.

San Carlos has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Guanacasteca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match San Carlos is a favorite.

Last 13 head-to-head matches San Carlos won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14:9 (average 1.1:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams San Carlos won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 9:6 (average 1.3:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD San Carlos
Costa Rican Primera Division
23.01.25	Cartagines - San Carlos	2:1 ✺
20.01.25	San Carlos - Sporting San José	0:1 ✺
15.01.25	Santos de Guápiles - San Carlos	1:1 ✺
11.01.25	San Carlos - Deportivo Saprissa	0:1 ✺
10.12.24	Deportivo Saprissa - San Carlos	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLTLL
- AD Guanacasteca
Costa Rican Primera Division
23.01.25	Guanacasteca - Pérez Zeledón	0:1 ✺
15.01.25	Herediano - Guanacasteca	4:1 ✺
10.01.25	Guanacasteca - Municipal Liberia	1:0 ✺
30.11.24	Guanacasteca - Alajuelense	1:0 ✺
25.11.24	Santa Ana - Guanacasteca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 LLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Costa Rican Primera Division
01.11.24	San Carlos - Guanacasteca	2:2
19.07.24	Guanacasteca - San Carlos	San Carlos awarded
17.04.24	Guanacasteca - San Carlos	0:1
10.02.24	San Carlos - Guanacasteca	1:1
08.10.23	San Carlos - Guanacasteca	0:1
05.08.23	Guanacasteca - San Carlos	0:0
28.04.23	San Carlos - Guanacasteca	2:0

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