The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Cartagines 46%
Draw 29.8%
Municipal Liberia 24.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
47.9%
29.5%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49%
28.8%
22.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cartagines has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)
Municipal Liberia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagines than the current prediction. (+3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Municipal Liberia than the current prediction. (-2%)
Cartagines - Municipal Liberia Predictions
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
DC - Cartagines (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Cartagines (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Briceno K. (G) 18. Barahona C. 5. Pereira M. 3. Faerron F. 24. Zuniga S. 31. Mora J. 8. Lopez D. 6. Montero C. 26. Alfaro B. 21. Marquez R. 9. Venegas J.
1. Monreal A. (G) 7. Johnson S. 5. Molina Y. 15. Reyes C. 24. Francis W. 22. Hudson A. 31. Padilla S. 10. Hernandez Y. 39. Villalobos M. 33. Lesme F. 11. Torres E.
Substitutes
36. Brenes E. 22. Castrillo D. 16. Castro G. 28. Fernandez E. 15. Flores L. 13. Gaete J. 20. Mesen D. 33. Moya C. (G) 10. Nunez C. 25. Quiros S.
19. Arevalo T. 32. Castrillo J. (G) 38. Chal J. 2. Farrier H. 6. Pena R. 99. Ramirez R. 4. Rios J. 14. Rodriguez F. 42. Ruiz J. 12. Zuniga F.
Coaches
Villatoro A.
Cardozo J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Lesme F. ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, Venegas J. ⚽,
30', Venegas J. ↓, Nunez C. ↑,
30', Lesme F. ↓, Arevalo T. ↑,
33', Barahona C. 🟨,
45+5', 2 - 1, Nunez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zuniga S. ↓, Mesen D. ↑,
46', Monreal A. ↓, Castrillo J. ↑,
46', Villalobos M. ↓, Ramirez R. ↑,
46', Padilla S. ↓, Ruiz J. ↑,
60', Arevalo T. 🟨,
62', Montero C. ↓, Gaete J. ↑,
62', Alfaro B. ↓, Flores L. ↑,
75', Hudson A. ↓, Rodriguez F. ↑,
81', Ramirez R. 🟨,
86', Lopez D. ↓, Castrillo D. ↑,
89', Flores L. 🟨,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Division (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cartagines won 2.
Cartagines is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Municipal Liberia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Municipal Liberia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Cartagines could have a small edge in this match.
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Cartagines won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Cartagines won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:5. (average 1:1).