Match Info

League One - Round 28

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Huangpu Sports Center (Guangzhou) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
China	19:30	Migu


	Guangdong GZ-Power		Suzhou Dongwu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.52	3.90	4.80
	1.52	3.8	4.9	Watch
	1.58	4.15	5.92
	1.55	4.24	5.2	Watch
	1.54	3.5	5.85
	1.61	4.08	4.97	Watch
	1.55	4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.55 ↑ (1.49)	3.95 ↓ (4)	5.23 ↓ (5.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangdong GZ-Power
59.2%

Draw
23.3%

Suzhou Dongwu
17.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

60.8%

22.7%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

22.2%

16.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangdong GZ-Power has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

Suzhou Dongwu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangdong GZ-Power than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suzhou Dongwu than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

Guangdong GZ Power - Suzhou Dongwu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Xiao Jiaqi (G) 3. Han Xuan 16. Liao Junjian (C) 4. Liu Langzhou 18. Wang H. 39. Huang Shenghao 34. Hou Yu 2. Liu Bin 7. Camara O. 20. Joao Carlos 10. Liang Xueming	1. Liu Yu (G) 18. Tai Jianfeng 33. Liu Jiqiang 15. Jin Qiang 36. Yuan J. 42. Arafat Ghenifa 16. Zhao S. 6. Estrela (C) 7. Farley Rosa 14. Bugiel O. 9. Ali M.
Substitutes
8. Cai Haochang 19. Chen Junxu (G) 15. Deng Biao 27. Gao Huaze 5. Jiang Jihong 25. Wang Chien-Ming 24. Wang J. 29. Wang Jingbin 32. Wei W. 43. Xiao Kun 45. Xue Sibo (G) 17. Yang Hao	37. Askhan (G) 20. Chen Rong 8. Gao D. 45. Mijit M. 2. Song Bowei 21. Song Pan 39. Tian Jiahao 26. Wang B. 17. Wang Jiancong 5. Wang Yulong 19. Wu Junjie 25. Yu Z.
Coaches
Feng F.	Guo H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Camara O. ⚽, Joao Carlos (A),
18', Han Xuan 🟨,
21', Liu Langzhou 🟨,
30', Arafat Ghenifa ↓, Song Pan ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Han Xuan ↓, Wang J. ↑,
46', Liu Jiqiang ↓, Mijit M. ↑,
56', Jin Qiang 🟨,
63', Wang H. ↓, Yang Hao ↑,
63', Liu Bin ↓, Wang Chien-Ming ↑,
72', Hou Yu ↓, Xiao Kun ↑,
75', Yuan J. ↓, Wang B. ↑,
75', Zhao S. ↓, Gao D. ↑,
80', Wang J. 🟨,
83', Bugiel O. 🟨,
89', Bugiel O. ↓, Wu Junjie ↑,
90', Liang Xueming ↓, Wang Jingbin ↑,
90', 1 - 1, Wang B. ⚽,
90', Liao Junjian 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1st in the Promotion - Super League and 12th).

Guangdong GZ-Power is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Super League.

Guangdong GZ-Power has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Suzhou Dongwu have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Guangdong GZ-Power may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Bookmakers give the edge to Guangdong GZ-Power for this game.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Guangdong GZ-Power has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 6:4 (averaging 2:1.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Guangdong GZ-Power against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 3:2 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Guangdong GZ-Power ✔	28	18	7	3	56:27	29	61
12	Suzhou Dongwu	28	7	12	9	32:37	-5	30

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangdong GZ-Power FC
Chinese Jia League
18.10.26	Shaanxi Union - Guangdong GZ-Power	4:0 ✺
11.10.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Dingnan United	3:1 ✺
07.10.26	Shenzhen Juniors - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:4 ✺
18.09.26	Yanbian Longding - Guangdong GZ-Power	1:2 ✺
12.09.26	Guangdong GZ-Power - Dalian Kun City	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWWWT
- Suzhou Dongwu
Chinese Jia League
17.10.26	Ningbo Professional - Suzhou Dongwu	1:1 ✺
10.10.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	0:0 ✺
06.10.26	Wuxi Wugou - Suzhou Dongwu	2:2 ✺
19.09.26	Shaanxi Union - Suzhou Dongwu	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Foshan Nanshi	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.2 TTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
04.07.26	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangdong GZ-Power	2:2
18.10.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Guangdong GZ-Power	0:1
15.06.25	Guangdong GZ-Power - Suzhou Dongwu	3:2

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