Match Info

CHINA: Yi League - Relegation Group - Round 24

Date: 22 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Dongxing Sports Center (Dongxing)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports


	Guangxi Lanhang		Lanzhou Longyuan

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.55	2.75	2.7
				Watch
	3.03	2.73	2.58
	2.68	2.78	2.82
	2.25	2.88	3.2
	2.59	2.94	2.63
	2.6	2.8	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.3)	2.81 ↓ (2.96)	2.77 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Lanhang
34.8%

Draw
32.4%

Lanzhou Longyuan
32.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

31%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.5%

32.2%

28%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Lanhang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guangxi Lanhang's form might have worsened.

Lanzhou Longyuan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Lanhang than the current prediction. (+6.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guangxi Lanhang, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lanzhou Longyuan than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

Guangxi Lanhang - Lanzhou Longyuan Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Zhou W. (G) 22. Liao J. 3. Xie Shixian 18. Zou Q. 9. Wang S. 30. Yu Xueyi 6. Guo Y. 16. Cheng H. 8. Zheng Y. 11. An Yongjian 10. Memet-Ali M.	16. Mu Qianyu (G) 45. Chen Yu 18. Zeng Y. 4. Xiao Yufeng 23. Guo Ze 39. Chen Kerui 19. Chen Z. 20. Li Yu 11. Tai Jianfeng 10. Pan Yuchen 14. Ying Yuxiao
Substitutes
19. Ababekri Imamhesen 5. Chen S. 23. Chi Dian 42. Huang Xuanzhong (G) 45. Huang Yufei 20. Jiang Z. 1. Wang Xibo (G) 44. Xia Zhengrong 7. Xi Zhenyun 47. Yu Jiajun 13. Zhang J. 43. Zheng Y.	2. Chen Zefeng 28. Esqer Iskender 50. Fu Zhenhao (G) 33. Gao Yixuan 15. Liu Y. 42. Mo H. 17. Wang Zeyang 29. Zhang Z.
Coaches
Gong Lei	Qu W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 2)
51', Chen Z. 🟨,
55', Zeng Y. 🟨,
58', Guo Ze ↓, Gao Yixuan ↑,
58', Chen Z. ↓, Wang Zeyang ↑,
63', Memet-Ali M. ↓, Jiang Z. ↑,
63', Zheng Y. ↓, Xia Zhengrong ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Chen Kerui (Own goal),
75', Li Yu ↓, Chen Zefeng ↑,
77', Pan Yuchen 🟨,
78', An Yongjian ↓, Chen S. ↑,
82', Chen Zefeng 🟨,
83', 2 - 0, Yu Xueyi (Pen),
86', Zhou W. 🟨,
88', Yu Xueyi ↓, Huang Yufei ↑,
88', Wang S. ↓, Xi Zhenyun ↑,
88', Ying Yuxiao ↓, Zhang Z. ↑,
89', Xia Zhengrong 🟨,
90+2', 2 - 1, Xiao Yufeng ⚽, Pan Yuchen (A),
90+4', 2 - 2, Pan Yuchen ⚽,
90+6', Mu Qianyu 🟨,
90+6', Pan Yuchen 🟨,

Preview

Recent matches Guangxi Lanhang is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rizhao Yuqi is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Rizhao Yuqi could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Guangxi Lanhang won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Lanhang
Chinese Yi League
16.09.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Taian Tiankuang	1:1 ✺
07.09.24	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai - Guangxi Lanhang	2:3 ✺
01.09.24	Beijing Institute of Technology - Guangxi Lanhang	0:2 ✺
25.08.24	Guangxi Lanhang - Hubei Istar	1:2 ✺
17.08.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangxi Lanhang	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.9 TWWLL
- Lanzhou Longyuan
Chinese Yi League
16.09.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Kunming City	3:1 ✺
08.09.24	Ganzhou Ruishi - Lanzhou Longyuan	1:1 ✺
31.08.24	Quanzhou Yassin - Lanzhou Longyuan	0:0 ✺
25.08.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Wenzhou Professional	1:1 ✺
17.08.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangxi Lanhang	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 WTTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Yi League
17.08.24	Lanzhou Longyuan - Guangxi Lanhang	1:0

Guangxi Lanhang - Lanzhou Longyuan: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide