Match Info

Jia League - Round 15

Date: 5 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Pingguo Stadium (Pingguo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu, ZhiBo8


	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao		Shaanxi Union

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.4	3.25	1.9
	3.6	3.3	1.88	Watch
	4.16	3.39	1.84
				Watch
	3.5	3.25	1.95
	3.67	3.36	1.89	Watch
	3.45	3.65	1.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.63 ↑ (3.45)	3.37 ↓ (3.65)	1.88 ↑ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
25%

Draw
26.9%

Shaanxi Union
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.2%

24.7%

49.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.3%

24.8%

48.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Shaanxi Union has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Shaanxi Union than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shaanxi Union Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Shaanxi Union (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1.5 - Shaanxi Union (3.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Shaanxi Union (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. He Lipan (G) 2. Ning An 45. Huang Wei 4. Feng Yifan 19. Chen Quanjiang 7. Zhang Ran 44. Fan Chao 10. Asamoah S. (C) 39. Lu Chenghe 35. Zhu Yue 9. Mateus	1. Chen Junxu (C) 17. Xu Dongdong 4. Wang Weipu 24. Liang Shaowen 35. Chen Y. 8. Xie Zhiwei 16. Wang B. 36. Yan Yu 21. Wang Shijie 11. Aniwar Abduwahap 7. Ali M.
Substitutes
28. Chen Shaohao 25. Chen Shihao 33. Ding Quancheng 29. Fu Shang 8. Hu Jiajin 20. Jiang Zhengjie 13. Wang Jinshuai (G) 1. Wang Yanhan (G) 27. Wei Guoren 17. Yang Jingfan 5. Yao Diran 16. Zhang Zili	10. El Azrak R. 40. Eysajan Elkut 23. Li C. 27. Reiner C. 33. Tan Kaiyuan 6. Tursunali Nureli 14. Wei Minghe 22. Wei Yuren 19. Zhang Yuxuan
Coaches
Maeda K.	Franken G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Mateus ↓, Zhang Zili ↑,
28', Asamoah S. 🟨,
45+3', Wang B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Zhang Ran ↓, Wei Guoren ↑,
46', Yan Yu ↓, El Azrak R. ↑,
58', Asamoah S. ↓, Hu Jiajin ↑,
58', Lu Chenghe ↓, Fu Shang ↑,
66', Xu Dongdong 🟨,
73', Ali M. ↓, Tan Kaiyuan ↑,
74', Wang Weipu ↓, Reiner C. ↑,
74', Wang B. ↓, Zhang Yuxuan ↑,
74', Wang Shijie ↓, Wei Yuren ↑,
75', Fan Chao 🟨,
79', Ning An ↓, Ding Quancheng ↑,
90', Fu Shang 🟨,
90+5', Fu Shang ↓, Yang Jingfan ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 9).

Recent form of Guangxi has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Shaanxi Union is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Shaanxi Union might have a minor edge in this game.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
28.06.25	Ningbo Professional - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	3:1 ✺
22.06.25	Yanbian Longding - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	1:0 ✺
14.06.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Nantong Zhiyun	1:2 ✺
31.05.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 LLLWT
- Shaanxi Union FC
Chinese Jia League
28.06.25	Shaanxi Union - Dalian Kun City	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.06.25	Shaanxi Union - Yunnan Yukun	1:2 ✺
Chinese Jia League
15.06.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Shaanxi Union	1:1 ✺
01.06.25	Shaanxi Union - Shenzhen Juniors	3:2 ✺
25.05.25	Ningbo Professional - Shaanxi Union	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WLTWW

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