Match Info

Jia League - Round 12

Date: 14 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Pingguo Stadium (Pingguo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao		Nantong Zhiyun

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.75	3	2.35
	2.82	3.05	2.32	Watch
	2.92	3.11	2.49
				Watch
	2.8	2.9	2.5
	2.86	3.33	2.39	Watch
	2.82	3.05	2.32
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.8)	3.07 ↓ (3.28)	2.4 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
32.2%

Draw
29.7%

Nantong Zhiyun
38.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.2%

27.5%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.3%

26.7%

41.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

The chances for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

Nantong Zhiyun has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nantong Zhiyun than the current prediction. (+3.4%)

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Nantong Zhiyun Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Nantong Zhiyun (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Nantong Zhiyun (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. He Lipan (G) 16. Zhang Zili 10. Asamoah S. 9. Mateus 7. Zhang Ran 19. Chen Quanjiang 45. Huang Wei 20. Jiang Zhengjie 8. Hu Jiajin 28. Chen Shaohao 5. Yao Diran	1. Li Guanxi (G) 2. Xu Hui 15. Liu Wei 23. Jiang Kaihua 5. Ma Sheng 33. Li Haoran 37. Jia Boyan 25. Cao Kang 14. Liu Weicheng 11. Chen Binbin 7. Ye Daochi
Substitutes
25. Chen Shihao 33. Ding Quancheng 29. Fu Shang 24. Jin Jian 11. Liu Hao 39. Lu Chenghe 30. Wang Lingke 1. Wang Yanhan (G) 27. Wei Guoren 37. Xu Jianhao 18. Yang Hang	8. Halimurat Kamiran 6. Hu Mingfei 10. Ivanovic I. 21. Jiang Jiapeng 18. Jiang Zilei 13. Liao Lei 39. Liu Ye 16. Lu Jin (G) 19. Nan Xiaoheng 28. Song Haoyu 9. Ukachukwu P. 22. Wang Jinshuai (G)
Coaches
Maeda K.	Shinoda Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
8', 0 - 1, Jiang Kaihua ⚽, Ye Daochi (A),
13', 1 - 1, Huang Wei ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Liu Wei ↓, Hu Mingfei ↑,
46', Jiang Zhengjie ↓, Fu Shang ↑,
54', 1 - 2, Li Haoran (Pen),
56', Zhang Zili 🟨,
62', Jiang Kaihua ↓, Jiang Jiapeng ↑,
65', Jiang Jiapeng 🟨,
74', Zhang Zili ↓, Lu Chenghe ↑,
75', Ye Daochi ↓, Ukachukwu P. ↑,
75', Jia Boyan ↓, Ivanovic I. ↑,
84', Hu Jiajin ↓, Chen Shihao ↑,
84', Chen Quanjiang ↓, Yang Jingfan ↑,
89', Chen Binbin ↓, Liao Lei ↑,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 7).

Guangxi is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Nantong Zhiyun's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Guangxi has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guangxi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Guangxi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
31.05.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Qingdao Red Lions	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:3 ✺
Chinese Jia League
16.05.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Foshan Nanshi	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WTLLL
- Nantong Zhiyun
Chinese Jia League
01.06.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Dingnan United	1:1 ✺
26.05.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Nantong Zhiyun	0:1 ✺
17.05.25	Shaanxi Union - Nantong Zhiyun	3:2 ✺
10.05.25	Nantong Zhiyun - Shenzhen Juniors	5:0 ✺
03.05.25	Suzhou Dongwu - Nantong Zhiyun	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 TWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
03.07.22	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Nantong Zhiyun	2:2
17.06.22	Nantong Zhiyun - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1

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