The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Yanbian Longding 57.3%
Draw 25.5%
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao 17.2%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
65.6%
20.3%
14.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
68.9%
19.3%
13.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Yanbian Longding has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.3%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Yanbian Longding's form might have worsened.
Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Yanbian Longding than the current prediction. (+11.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Yanbian Longding, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (-3.8%)
Users Predictions:
Yanbian Longding will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%). Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% โ 100%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Yanbian Longding will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) ๐ฅ Bronze Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Yanbian Longding (votes: 5 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
21. Kou Jiahao (G) 7. Li Shibin 3. Wang Peng (C) 15. Xu Jizu 33. Hu Ziqian 14. Li Long 20. Jin Taiyan 17. Piao Shihao 5. Domingos J. 11. Ondong-Mba C. 10. Brown F.
22. He Lipan (C) 28. Chen Shaohao 5. Yao Diran 45. Huang Wei 7. Zhang Ran 33. Ding Quancheng 39. Lu Chenghe 19. Chen Quanjiang 17. Yang Jingfan 8. Hu Jiajin 29. Fu Shang
Substitutes
4. Che Zeping 19. Dong Jialin (G) 2. Gao Yunpeng 8. Han Guangmin 32. Li Da 22. Li Jinyu 6. Li Qiang 1. Li Shengmin (G) 23. Li Ximin 31. Qian Changjie 16. Xu Wenguang
10. Asamoah S. 25. Chen Shihao 20. Jiang Zhengjie 9. Mateus 1. Wang Yanhan (G) 27. Wei Guoren 18. Yang Hang 16. Zhang Zili
Coaches
Lee Ki-Hyung
Maeda K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Brown F. ⚽, Ondong-Mba C. (A),
30', Ding Quancheng 🟨,
34', Yao Diran ↓, Jiang Zhengjie ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Lu Chenghe ↓, Zhang Zili ↑,
46', Ding Quancheng ↓, Mateus ↑,
48', Jiang Zhengjie 🟨,
55', Yang Jingfan ↓, Wei Guoren ↑,
64', Ondong-Mba C. ↓, Li Qiang ↑,
64', Li Shibin ↓, Xu Wenguang ↑,
72', Jin Taiyan ↓, Li Ximin ↑,
79', He Lipan 🟨,
80', Hu Ziqian 🟨,
81', Huang Wei 🟨,
85', Fu Shang ↓, Chen Shihao ↑,
89', Piao Shihao ↓, Qian Changjie ↑,
Preview
One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 6 and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).
Yanbian Longding has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Guangxi is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Recently, Guangxi has had a series of home games.
In this match, Yanbian Longding is considered a favorite.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Yanbian Longding won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:11. (average 1.8:2.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Yanbian Longding won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:6. (average 2:3).
China
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Kou Jiahao (G) 
Domingos J. 
Ondong-Mba C. 
Brown F. 
Asamoah S. 
Mateus 
Lee Ki-Hyung 
Maeda K. 
