Match Info

Jia League - Round 11

Date: 31 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Pingguo Stadium (Pingguo)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	Migu


	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao		Qingdao Red Lions

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.9	3.1	3.6
	2.33	3	3	Watch
	2.38	2.98	3.15
	2.44	2.94	3.18	Watch
	2.05	2.9	3.75
	2.35	2.9	3.05	Watch
	2.33	3	3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 (2.25)	2.97 ↓ (3.09)	3.25 ↑ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
40.8%

Draw
30.9%

Qingdao Red Lions
28.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

29.5%

29.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

28.2%

28.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Qingdao Red Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangxi Pingguo Haliao than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qingdao Red Lions than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	57.1%	28.6%

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Qingdao Red Lions Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Guangxi will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Qingdao Red Lions will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangxi (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Qingdao Red Lions (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Qingdao Red Lions (2.03) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Guangxi (votes: 1 - 25%). Qingdao Red Lions (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. He Lipan (C) 28. Chen Shaohao 45. Huang Wei 5. Yao Diran 11. Liu Hao 10. Asamoah S. 19. Chen Quanjiang 16. Zhang Zili 7. Zhang Ran 8. Hu Jiajin 9. Mateus	18. Li Ya'nan (G) 44. Wu Junhao 11. Sun Xipeng 4. Zhao Chengle 23. Zhang Liang 20. Nie Aoshuang (C) 8. Jia Xiaochen 7. Nobrega J. 37. Chen Hao-Wei 9. Rivaldinho 10. Leandro Alves
Substitutes
25. Chen Shihao 33. Ding Quancheng 29. Fu Shang 20. Jiang Zhengjie 24. Jin Jian 39. Lu Chenghe 30. Wang Lingke 1. Wang Yanhan (G) 27. Wei Guoren 37. Xu Jianhao 18. Yang Hang 17. Yang Jingfan	27. Cao Kaidi 15. Hao Yucheng 22. Iskandar B. 5. Liu Pujin 36. Lu K. 40. Pi Ziyang 43. Sheng Muze (G) 13. Tao Yuan 35. Zhang Shuai 6. Zheng Haokun 30. Zhou Jianyi 1. Zhu Quan (G)
Coaches
Maeda K.	Ma Yongkang

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', Yao Diran 🟨,
36', 1 - 0, Mateus ⚽,
41', Liu Hao ↓, Jiang Zhengjie ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Jia Xiaochen ↓, Iskandar B. ↑,
46', Chen Hao-Wei ↓, Zhang Shuai ↑,
53', Zhao Chengle 🟨,
57', Zhang Zili ↓, Fu Shang ↑,
64', Nie Aoshuang 🟨,
73', Chen Quanjiang ↓, Ding Quancheng ↑,
74', Mateus ↓, Yang Hang ↑,
81', Nobrega J. 🟨,
90', Zhang Ran 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League and 15 in the zone Relegation ~ Yi League).

Guangxi has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Qingdao Red Lions is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Guangxi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guangxi will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Guangxi won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:4. (average 3:2).

Including home match between the teams, Guangxi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangxi Pingguo Haliao
Chinese Jia League
25.05.25	Chongqing Tongliang Long - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	0:0 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Chengdu Rongcheng	0:3 ✺
Chinese Jia League
16.05.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Foshan Nanshi	0:1 ✺
10.05.25	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Shijiazhuang Gongfu	1:4 ✺
03.05.25	Dalian Kun City - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 TLLLL
- Qingdao Red Lions
Chinese Jia League
26.05.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Nantong Zhiyun	0:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
21.05.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Shandong Taishan	0:5 ✺
Chinese Jia League
17.05.25	Shijiazhuang Gongfu - Qingdao Red Lions	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Qingdao Red Lions - Suzhou Dongwu	0:1 ✺
04.05.25	Foshan Nanshi - Qingdao Red Lions	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Jia League
31.08.24	Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Qingdao Red Lions	3:2
14.04.24	Qingdao Red Lions - Guangxi Pingguo Haliao	2:3

Guangxi Pingguo Haliao - Qingdao Red Lions: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide