Match Info

Date: 24 June 2022, Friday

Location: Yuexiushan Stadium (Guangzhou)


	Guangzhou City		Changchun Yatai

	1	X	2
	12	5.25	1.28	Watch
	10.5	5.5	1.26
	19	6	1.17
	15	5.4	1.21
	14.08	5.51	1.25
	13	5.5	1.18
	11.75	5.8	1.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.62 ↑ (9.04)	5.57 ↑ (4.74)	1.23 ↓ (1.33)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guangzhou City
6.9%

Draw
16.8%

Changchun Yatai
76.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.3%

19.6%

70.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.7%

18.5%

74.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guangzhou City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

Changchun Yatai has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Changchun Yatai's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guangzhou City than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Changchun Yatai than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27%	8.1%	64.9%

Guangzhou City - Changchun Yatai Predictions

Users Predictions: 37 users predict this event. Guangzhou City will win (votes: 10 - 27%). Changchun Yatai will win (votes: 24 - 64.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 8.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Changchun Yatai: 49.5% – 80.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Preview

Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 10).

Guangzhou City has the most likely position - 12 (100%), has project points - 32, has currently - 32, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Guangzhou City won 2.

Guangzhou City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Recent matches Changchun Yatai is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Changchun Yatai is certain favorite.

Last 16 head-to-head matches Guangzhou City won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 27-28.

Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou City won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 12-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guangzhou City FC
Chinese Super League
20.06.22	Guangzhou City - Zhejiang Professional	2:4 ✺
15.06.22	Guangzhou City - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:3 ✺
12.06.22	Guangzhou City - Shandong Taishan	0:1 ✺
08.06.22	Dalian Pro - Guangzhou City	2:0 ✺
04.06.22	Changchun Yatai - Guangzhou City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LLLLL
- Changchun Yatai
Chinese Super League
20.06.22	Changchun Yatai - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:0 ✺
16.06.22	Shandong Taishan - Changchun Yatai	4:0 ✺
12.06.22	Changchun Yatai - Dalian Pro	1:1 ✺
07.06.22	Zhejiang Professional - Changchun Yatai	0:0 ✺
04.06.22	Changchun Yatai - Guangzhou City	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.7 TLTTW

Latest Head to Head

Chinese Super League
04.06.22	Changchun Yatai - Guangzhou City	4:1
26.12.21	Changchun Yatai - Guangzhou City	2:1
13.12.21	Guangzhou City - Changchun Yatai	0:2
18.08.18	Guangzhou City - Changchun Yatai	5:2
31.03.18	Changchun Yatai - Guangzhou City	1:2
16.07.17	Changchun Yatai - Guangzhou City	3:2
12.03.17	Guangzhou City - Changchun Yatai	1:0

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