The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guangzhou City 31.2%
Draw 28%
Dalian Pro 40.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
25.3%
28.4%
46.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
24.8%
27.8%
47.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guangzhou City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guangzhou City's performance.
Dalian Pro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Dalian Pro might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guangzhou City than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guangzhou City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Dalian Pro than the current prediction. (+6.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Dalian Pro could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
15.7%
21.6%
62.7%
Guangzhou City - Dalian Pro Predictions
Users Predictions:
51 users predict this event. Guangzhou City will win (votes: 8 - 15.7%). Dalian Pro will win (votes: 32 - 62.7%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 21.6%). Confidence interval (95%) for Dalian Pro: 49.4% – 76%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Jia League and 14).
Guangzhou City has the most likely position - 12 (100%), has project points - 32, has currently - 32, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.
Dalian Pro has the most likely position - 9 (100%), has project points - 38, has currently - 38, has not chance of relegated, has not chance of qualify for acl.
Last 5 head-to-head matches Guangzhou City won 3.
Guangzhou City has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Recent matches Dalian Pro is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Guangzhou City could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
Recently Guangzhou City have a series of home games.
Dalian Pro will have a small advantage in this match.
Last 14 head-to-head matches Guangzhou City won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 22-20.
Including matches at home between the teams Guangzhou City won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.
Watch
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