Match Info

CHINA: SUPER LEAGUE - ROUND 23

Date: 19 August 2023, Saturday

Location: Dalian Sports Center Stadium (Dalian)


	Dalian Pro		Henan Songshan Longmen

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.7
	2.55	3	2.65
	2.6	3.05	2.75
	2.81	3.01	2.82
	2.5	2.9	2.6
	2.69	3.18	2.7
	2.65	3.1	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.65 ↓ (2.69)	3.06 ↓ (3.27)	2.7 ↑ (2.57)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dalian Pro
35.1%

Draw
30.4%

Henan Songshan Longmen
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.8%

28.7%

36.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3%

29.1%

37%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dalian Pro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Henan Songshan Longmen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dalian Pro than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Henan Songshan Longmen than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
46.2%	15.4%	38.5%

Dalian Pro - Henan Songshan Longmen Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Dalian Pro will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Henan Jianye will win (votes: 5 - 38.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Dalian Pro: 19.1% – 73.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Wu Yan (G) 11. Mamba S. 4. Nunez V. 13. Wang Yaopeng 8. Zhu Ting (C) 35. Wang Yu 5. Wu Wei 31. Lu Peng 10. Tsonev B. 19. Wang Zhenao 7. Lin Liangming	19. Wang Guoming (G) 33. Mawlanniyaz D. 24. Li Songyi 5. Gu Cao 11. Ke Zhao 8. Huang Zichang 10. Mierzejewski A. 6. Wang Shangyuan (C) 31. Pereira H. 35. Denic D. 20. Covic N.
Substitutes
40. Bosancic N. 28. Fei Yu 18. He Yupeng 14. Huang Jiahui 2. Lin Longchang 16. Liu Le 38. Lu Zhuoyi 23. Shang Yin 6. Wang Xianjun 39. Yan Xiangchuang 1. Zhang Chong (G) 15. Zhao Jianbo	21. Chen Keqiang 9. Feng Boyuan 14. Gao Tianyu 30. Li T. 26. Liu Jiahui 2. Liu Yixin 4. Luo Xin 13. Peng Peng (G) 16. Tudi Dilyimit 3. Yang Shuai 18. Zhao Yuhao 29. Zhong Yihao
Coaches
Xie Hui	Diaz S.

Preview

You will have a great opportunity to watch a game between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 14 and 12).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Dalian Pro won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Dalian Pro could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Last 17 head-to-head matches Dalian Pro won 7 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 25-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Dalian Pro won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13-10.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dalian Pro
Chinese Super League
13.08.23	Dalian Pro - Shenzhen	2:1 ✺
09.08.23	Cangzhou Mighty Lions - Dalian Pro	2:1 ✺
05.08.23	Dalian Pro - Shanghai Shenhua	2:1 ✺
29.07.23	Meizhou Hakka - Dalian Pro	2:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
25.07.23	Dalian Pro - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.3 WLWLW
- Henan Songshan Longmen
Chinese Super League
13.08.23	Henan Songshan Longmen - Tianjin Jinmen Tiger	1:0 ✺
09.08.23	Wuhan Three Towns - Henan Songshan Longmen	4:2 ✺
04.08.23	Beijing Guoan - Henan Songshan Longmen	3:1 ✺
28.07.23	Henan Songshan Longmen - Shenzhen	3:1 ✺
Chinese FA Cup
25.07.23	Dalian Pro - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Chinese FA Cup
25.07.23	Dalian Pro - Henan Songshan Longmen	2:1 penalties
Chinese Super League
20.05.23	Henan Songshan Longmen - Dalian Pro	1:0
24.06.22	Dalian Pro - Henan Songshan Longmen	0:2
04.06.22	Henan Songshan Longmen - Dalian Pro	2:2
25.12.21	Henan Songshan Longmen - Dalian Pro	1:0
12.12.21	Dalian Pro - Henan Songshan Longmen	1:0
03.09.20	Henan Songshan Longmen - Dalian Pro	0:4

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