Match Info

Serie D - Round 9

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Guaporé		Araguaína

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.1	3.6
	1.95	3.19	3.59
	2.01	3.1	3.74	Watch
	1.95	3	3.5
	1.95	3.18	3.64
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.17)	3.11 ↑ (3)	3.61 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaporé
46%

Draw
29%

Araguaína
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

30.5%

27.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

29.3%

26.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaporé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

Araguaína has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guaporé than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araguaína than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Guaporé - Araguaína Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
31', 1 - 0, Watthimen (Penalty Awarded),
45', 1 - 1, Thalyson Coimbra ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', 🟥,
61', 🟥,
66', 2 - 1, Daniel Felipe ⚽,
82', 3 - 1, Lucas Guedes ⚽,
90', 3 - 2, Alan Calbergue (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Recently, Guaporé has had a series of away games.

Guaporé is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guaporé won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaporé FC
Brazilian Serie D
23.05.26	Humaitá - Guaporé	0:4 ✺
17.05.26	Porto Velho - Guaporé	0:0 ✺
03.05.26	Galvez - Guaporé	3:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
29.04.26	Nacional AM - Guaporé	2:0 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
25.04.26	Guaporé - Porto Velho	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 WTTLW
- Araguaína Futebol e Regatas
Brazilian Serie D
24.05.26	Araguaína - Porto Velho	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Independência - Araguaína	1:0 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
29.04.26	Araguaína - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
26.04.26	Araguaína - Independência	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Porto Velho - Araguaína	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 TLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
12.04.26	Araguaína - Guaporé	1:1

Guaporé - Araguaína: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide