Match Info

Serie D - Round 7

Date: 17 May 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Independência		Araguaína

	1	X	2
	3.55	3.1	1.95
	3.73	3.15	1.97
	3.82	3.01	2.03	Watch
	3.4	3.1	1.95
	3.8	3.1	1.94
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.66 ↑ (3.65)	3.09 ↓ (3.2)	1.97 ↓ (1.99)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Independência
24.7%

Draw
29.3%

Araguaína
46%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

25.2%

28.7%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

27.9%

47.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Independência has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Araguaína has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Independência than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Araguaína than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

Independência - Araguaína Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
48', 1 - 0, Alves de Macedo I. ⚽,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Araguaína may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Araguaína could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Independência won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Independência FC
Brazilian Serie D
09.05.26	Porto Velho - Independência	2:1 ✺
02.05.26	Independência - Porto Velho	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
29.04.26	Independência - Grêmio Atlético Sampaio	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
26.04.26	Araguaína - Independência	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Norte
15.04.26	Paysandu - Independência	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LTWTL
- Araguaína Futebol e Regatas
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
29.04.26	Araguaína - Vila Nova	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
26.04.26	Araguaína - Independência	1:1 ✺
19.04.26	Porto Velho - Araguaína	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Centro Oeste
15.04.26	Rio Branco AC ES - Araguaína	1:3 ✺
Brazilian Serie D
12.04.26	Araguaína - Guaporé	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 37.3 LTWWT

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
26.04.26	Araguaína - Independência	1:1

Independência - Araguaína