Match Info

Date: 11 March 2021, Thursday


	Guaraní Asuncion		Atlético Nacional

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.1	2.7	Watch
	2.6	2.95	2.9
	2.62	2.85	2.95	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.85
	2.72	2.95	2.97
	2.7	3	2.8
	2.54	3.07	2.84
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.6 ↑ (2.47)	2.98 ↓ (3.09)	2.86 ↑ (2.79)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
35.9%

Draw
31.4%

Atlético Nacional
32.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

29.8%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

20.7%

22.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Atlético Nacional has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Guaraní Asuncion than the current prediction. (+17.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Guaraní Asuncion, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (-9.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Atlético Nacional, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Guaraní Asuncion - Atlético Nacional Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

1st leg.

Two teams are playing changeable.

Atlético Nacional could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Guaraní won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Guaraní won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.03.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	0:1 ✺
Copa Libertadores
03.03.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Royal Pari	1:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
27.02.21	Sol de América - Guaraní Asuncion	1:3 ✺
Copa Libertadores
24.02.21	Royal Pari - Guaraní Asuncion	1:4 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
20.02.21	Guaraní Asuncion - Olimpia Asuncion	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LTWWL
- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
06.03.21	Rionegro Águilas - Atlético Nacional	1:1 ✺
02.03.21	Atlético Nacional - Alianza Valledupar	5:0 ✺
24.02.21	Atlético Bucaramanga - Atlético Nacional	3:2 ✺
21.02.21	Atlético Nacional - América de Cali	2:2 ✺
16.02.21	Once Caldas - Atlético Nacional	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWLTW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Sudamericana
27.08.13	Atlético Nacional - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0
20.08.13	Guaraní Asuncion - Atlético Nacional	0:2

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