The best margin for this event is 9.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guarani U20 60.2%
Draw 22.9%
Água Santa U20 16.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
54.9%
23.8%
21.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.7%
22.3%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarani U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarani U20's performance.
Água Santa U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani U20 than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Água Santa U20 than the current prediction. (+3%)
Guarani U20 - Água Santa U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
50', 1 - 0, ⚽,
75', 2 - 0, ⚽,
90+2', 🟥,
Preview
One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
Guarani U20 has shown excellent form with a series of wins in recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
Água Santa U20 has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Recently, Água Santa U20 has had a series of home games.
In this match, Guarani U20 is seen as the favorite.
We predict that Guarani U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
The teams have not played against each other recently.