The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guarani U20 52.6%
Draw 25.4%
Sfera U20 22%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
45.6%
26.4%
28%
Our Initial ML Estimation
47.3%
25.6%
27.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarani U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarani U20's performance.
Sfera U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sfera U20 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani U20 than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guarani U20 that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sfera U20 than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sfera U20 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guarani U20 - Sfera U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
60', 1 - 0, ⚽,
Penalties (3 - 1)
1, (Penalty Awarded),
1, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
2, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
3, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
4, (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 1-2.
One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 3rd in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals and 4th in the Promotion - Paulista U20 Playoffs - 1/16 - finals).
Guarani U20 is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
Sfera U20 has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this matchup, Guarani U20 is considered the favorite to take the win.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Guarani U20 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Guarani U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 2:0 goals.
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