The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guarani U20 65.5%
Draw 20.8%
XV de Jaú U20 13.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62%
21.9%
16.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
64.4%
21.1%
15.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarani U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
XV de Jaú U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarani U20 than the current prediction. (-1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for XV de Jaú U20 than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Guarani U20 - XV de Jaú U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
85', 3 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Paulista U20 (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
Guarani U20 is Qualified for Paulista U20 (Play Offs 1/16~finals)
Guarani U20 is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
XV de Jaú U20 is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Guarani U20 is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Guarani U20 won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:3. (average 0.7:1).