Match Info

Serie D - Round 9

Date: 15 June 2025, Sunday


	Guarany de Bagé		Azuriz

	1	X	2
	2.1	2.95	3.2
	1.76	3.1	4.15
				Watch
	1.84	3.13	4.24
	2.1	2.88	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.17)	3.02 ↓ (3.1)	3.72 ↑ (3.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guarany de Bagé
46.1%

Draw
29.8%

Azuriz
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

29.8%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.9%

25.8%

32%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guarany de Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Azuriz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guarany de Bagé that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Azuriz than the current prediction. (+7.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Azuriz could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	50%	0%

Guarany de Bagé - Azuriz Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Guarany de Bagé will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Guarany de Bagé (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Guarany de Bagé (1.66) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Guarany de Bagé (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 7).

Recent performances by Guarany de Bagé have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Azuriz has been on a rough run of results (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Guarany de Bagé may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Guarany de Bagé will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Guarany de Bagé won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guarany de Bagé
Brazilian Serie D
01.06.25	Guarany de Bagé - Barra Santa Catarina	0:2 ✺
25.05.25	Azuriz - Guarany de Bagé	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Brasil de Pelotas - Guarany de Bagé	0:0 ✺
11.05.25	Guarany de Bagé - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	São Luiz - Guarany de Bagé	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LTTWL
- Azuriz FC
Brazilian Serie D
08.06.25	Azuriz - EC São José Porto Alegre	1:3 ✺
31.05.25	EC São José Porto Alegre - Azuriz	1:0 ✺
25.05.25	Azuriz - Guarany de Bagé	0:0 ✺
18.05.25	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Azuriz	1:0 ✺
10.05.25	Azuriz - Barra Santa Catarina	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
25.05.25	Azuriz - Guarany de Bagé	0:0

Guarany de Bagé - Azuriz: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide