The best margin for this event is 8.4%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Guarany de Bagé 77.8%
Draw 16.8%
EC Guarani 5.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.5%
24.2%
13.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51%
19.7%
16.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guarany de Bagé has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+15.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guarany de Bagé's performance.
EC Guarani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and EC Guarani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Guarany de Bagé than the current prediction. (-26.8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Guarany de Bagé that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for EC Guarani than the current prediction. (+10.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that EC Guarani could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Guarany de Bagé - EC Guarani Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato Gaucho 2 (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Relegation).
Recent matches Guarany de Bagé is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
EC Guarani is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recently Guarany de Bagé have a series of guest games.
In this match Guarany de Bagé is absolute favorite.
Last 3 head-to-head matches Guarany de Bagé won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Guarany de Bagé won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.