Match Info

Copa de Primera - Clausura - Round 5

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Estadio Rogelio Livieres (Asunción)

Referee: Colman A. (Par)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Guaraní Asuncion		Rubio Ñu

	1	X	2
	2.15	2.9	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.00	3.10
	2.18	2.95	3.25	Watch
	2.3	3.1	3.55
	2	3.37	3.72	Watch
	2.2	3.05	3.5
	2.28	3.07	3.29	Watch
	2.15	2.95	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (1.86)	3.05 ↓ (3.27)	3.33 ↓ (4.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Guaraní Asuncion
42.3%

Draw
30.2%

Rubio Ñu
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.4%

28.1%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Guaraní Asuncion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Guaraní Asuncion's form might have worsened.

Rubio Ñu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5%)

Guaraní Asuncion - Rubio Ñu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Martinez A. (G) 27. Gimenez M. 14. Rodriguez Echeverria R. O. 23. Jacquet M. 38. Coronel P. 5. Tanda P. 10. Anasco M. 40. Fernandez F. (C) 8. Lopez M. 26. Fernandez D. 28. Romero N.	32. Maldonado L. (G) 13. Cabanas V. 31. Blasi B. 3. Vallejos J. 5. Alvarez Benitez P. 27. Ledesma A. 8. Rojas R. 15. Nunez C. 36. Gimenez C. 40. Perez E. 10. Mendieta W. (C)
Substitutes
21. Arrua C. 17. Cespedes V. 12. Dionisi G. (G) 24. Espinola J. 11. Garcia J. 25. Gomez G. 35. Gonzalez P. 19. Ibarra A. 29. Llano J. 34. Maldonado M. 36. Martinez L. 20. Quinonez R.	7. Alfonso E. 1. Canteros T. (G) 30. De Carvalho M. 26. Fretes S. 19. Garrone M. 16. Gonzalez J. 23. Leiva T. 35. Montiel L. 20. Paez A. 14. Ramos M. 11. Roldan M. 9. Ruiz Diaz R.
Coaches
Galeano A.	Torrente J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
41', Ledesma A. 🟨,
45', 0 - 1, Gimenez C. ⚽, Cabanas V. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 2)
46', Ledesma A. ↓, Leiva T. ↑,
46', Romero N. ↓, Arrua C. ↑,
46', Fernandez F. ↓, Garcia J. ↑,
49', Tanda P. 🟨,
53', 0 - 2, Blasi B. ⚽, Rojas R. (A),
54', 0 - 3, Mendieta W. ⚽, Rojas R. (A),
58', Perez E. ↓, Roldan M. ↑,
65', Mendieta W. ↓, Ruiz Diaz R. ↑,
65', Gimenez M. ↓, Gonzalez P. ↑,
65', Coronel P. ↓, Cespedes V. ↑,
67', 1 - 3, Garcia J. ⚽, Cespedes V. (A),
74', Nunez C. ↓, Alfonso E. ↑,
75', Gimenez C. ↓, Fretes S. ↑,
78', 2 - 3, Anasco M. ⚽, Cespedes V. (A),
81', Jacquet M. ↓, Ibarra A. ↑,
83', Fernandez D. 🟨,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 4 and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 4.

Guaraní has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Rubio Ñu may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Guaraní is a strong favorite.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guaraní won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 35:17. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Guaraní won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.6:0.9).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Guarani	13	5	6	2	14:10	4	21
10	Rubio Nu	13	3	3	7	15:24	-9	12

Last Results with these Odds

Guaraní Asuncion - the odds 1.86 are the expected chance of winning is 49.38%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Guaraní Asuncion
Copa Paraguay
12.08.26	Sportivo Iteño - Guaraní Asuncion	2:1 ✺
Paraguayan Primera Division
09.08.26	Nacional Asuncion - Guaraní Asuncion	0:0 ✺
02.08.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Libertad Asuncion	2:1 ✺
30.07.26	Sportivo San Lorenzo - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1 ✺
26.07.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Sportivo Luqueño	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTWWL
- Rubio Ñu
Paraguayan Primera Division
07.08.26	Rubio Ñu - Deportivo Recoleta	1:3 ✺
02.08.26	Olimpia Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	5:0 ✺
28.07.26	Rubio Ñu - Sportivo Ameliano	1:1 ✺
24.07.26	2 de Mayo - Rubio Ñu	1:0 ✺
24.05.26	Cerro Porteño - Rubio Ñu	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Paraguayan Primera Division
01.04.26	Rubio Ñu - Guaraní Asuncion	0:2
01.02.26	Guaraní Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	4:0
12.11.17	Guaraní Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	0:1
01.09.17	Rubio Ñu - Guaraní Asuncion	0:1
18.06.17	Guaraní Asuncion - Rubio Ñu	2:1
02.04.17	Rubio Ñu - Guaraní Asuncion	1:2
25.09.16	Rubio Ñu - Guaraní Asuncion	0:2

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